Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a maximum temperature near 16°C for Helsinki on September 12, supporting the 68.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal climatology for mid-September places average highs around 15–17°C, with current high-pressure dominance and light northerly flow limiting daytime warming while preventing sharp cooling. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around this range, with minimal risk of reaching 18°C or higher under stable conditions. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band and historical verification of similar setups when assigning the combined 87.5% probability to 15–17°C. Updated short-range model runs later today could refine the final observed maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日赫尔辛基的最高温度？
9月12日赫尔辛基的最高温度？
16°C 71%
17°C 19%
15°C 9%
18°C 4%
最新
$12,982 交易量
最新
$12,982 交易量
2026-09-12
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
9%
16°C
71%
17°C
19%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C或更高
<1%
16°C 71%
17°C 19%
15°C 9%
18°C 4%
最新
$12,982 交易量
最新
$12,982 交易量
2026-09-12
10°C或以下
$817 交易量
<1%
11°C
$105 交易量
<1%
12°C
$173 交易量
<1%
13°C
$184 交易量
<1%
14°C
$289 交易量
<1%
15°C
$4,150 交易量
9%
16°C
$2,246 交易量
71%
17°C
$3,342 交易量
19%
18°C
$1,096 交易量
4%
19°C
$448 交易量
2%
20°C或更高
$133 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a maximum temperature near 16°C for Helsinki on September 12, supporting the 68.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal climatology for mid-September places average highs around 15–17°C, with current high-pressure dominance and light northerly flow limiting daytime warming while preventing sharp cooling. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around this range, with minimal risk of reaching 18°C or higher under stable conditions. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band and historical verification of similar setups when assigning the combined 87.5% probability to 15–17°C. Updated short-range model runs later today could refine the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$12,982结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a maximum temperature near 16°C for Helsinki on September 12, supporting the 68.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal climatology for mid-September places average highs around 15–17°C, with current high-pressure dominance and light northerly flow limiting daytime warming while preventing sharp cooling. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around this range, with minimal risk of reaching 18°C or higher under stable conditions. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band and historical verification of similar setups when assigning the combined 87.5% probability to 15–17°C. Updated short-range model runs later today could refine the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,982结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETForecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a maximum temperature near 16°C for Helsinki on September 12, supporting the 68.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal climatology for mid-September places average highs around 15–17°C, with current high-pressure dominance and light northerly flow limiting daytime warming while preventing sharp cooling. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around this range, with minimal risk of reaching 18°C or higher under stable conditions. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band and historical verification of similar setups when assigning the combined 87.5% probability to 15–17°C. Updated short-range model runs later today could refine the final observed maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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