**Trader sentiment favors a low of 2–4 °C because current high-pressure conditions and mostly clear skies are promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling over southern Finland.** Light winds and a dew point near 4–7 °C allow surface temperatures to fall rapidly after midnight, with official stations such as Helsinki-Vantaa and Kaisaniemi sensitive to shallow cold-air pooling. Small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C, which is why the 2 °C-or-below, 3 °C, and 4 °C bins carry the highest implied probabilities. Historical September 12 minima average near 10 °C, so the current setup represents a notable cold anomaly driven by the present synoptic pattern. The Finnish Meteorological Institute’s final daily minimum will resolve the market once all hourly observations are verified.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日赫尔辛基最低气温?
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
2°C或更低
-
3°C
54%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C或更高
<1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
2°C或更低
-
3°C
54%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment favors a low of 2–4 °C because current high-pressure conditions and mostly clear skies are promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling over southern Finland.** Light winds and a dew point near 4–7 °C allow surface temperatures to fall rapidly after midnight, with official stations such as Helsinki-Vantaa and Kaisaniemi sensitive to shallow cold-air pooling. Small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C, which is why the 2 °C-or-below, 3 °C, and 4 °C bins carry the highest implied probabilities. Historical September 12 minima average near 10 °C, so the current setup represents a notable cold anomaly driven by the present synoptic pattern. The Finnish Meteorological Institute’s final daily minimum will resolve the market once all hourly observations are verified.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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