Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 7°C in Moscow on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 2–7 m/s, and stable high pressure near 750 mmHg, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 8.2°C. Multiple model runs and real-time observations through the evening support a minimum near 8°C, with daytime highs reaching 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability for 8°C reflects this strong agreement across authoritative sources. Realistic challenges include late forecast revisions from rapid radiative cooling under clearer skies or shifts in wind patterns that could push the low to 7°C or 9°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日莫斯科最低气温？
9月14日莫斯科最低气温？
8°C 99.5%
7°C 1.0%
5°C或更低 <1%
6°C <1%
$1,144 交易量
$1,144 交易量
2026-09-14
5°C或更低
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
是
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C或更高
否
8°C 99.5%
7°C 1.0%
5°C或更低 <1%
6°C <1%
$1,144 交易量
$1,144 交易量
2026-09-14
5°C或更低
$117 交易量
否
6°C
$102 交易量
否
7°C
$154 交易量
否
8°C
$329 交易量
是
9°C
$441 交易量
否
10°C
$0 交易量
否
11°C
$0 交易量
否
12°C
$0 交易量
否
13°C
$0 交易量
否
14°C
$0 交易量
否
15°C或更高
$0 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 7°C in Moscow on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 2–7 m/s, and stable high pressure near 750 mmHg, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 8.2°C. Multiple model runs and real-time observations through the evening support a minimum near 8°C, with daytime highs reaching 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability for 8°C reflects this strong agreement across authoritative sources. Realistic challenges include late forecast revisions from rapid radiative cooling under clearer skies or shifts in wind patterns that could push the low to 7°C or 9°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,144结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 7°C in Moscow on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 2–7 m/s, and stable high pressure near 750 mmHg, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 8.2°C. Multiple model runs and real-time observations through the evening support a minimum near 8°C, with daytime highs reaching 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability for 8°C reflects this strong agreement across authoritative sources. Realistic challenges include late forecast revisions from rapid radiative cooling under clearer skies or shifts in wind patterns that could push the low to 7°C or 9°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,144结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 7°C in Moscow on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds of 2–7 m/s, and stable high pressure near 750 mmHg, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 8.2°C. Multiple model runs and real-time observations through the evening support a minimum near 8°C, with daytime highs reaching 18–20°C. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability for 8°C reflects this strong agreement across authoritative sources. Realistic challenges include late forecast revisions from rapid radiative cooling under clearer skies or shifts in wind patterns that could push the low to 7°C or 9°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题