**Current forecast consensus from global models points to a Moscow nighttime low near 11–13 °C on September 17, driven by southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiational cooling.** Ensemble spreads, however, keep substantial probability on both cooler clear-sky outcomes below 8 °C and milder advection scenarios above 13 °C, which aligns with the near-even market split at 41 % for each tail. Historical September 17 lows average roughly 8 °C, so the present setup sits on the warmer side of climatology yet remains sensitive to small shifts in overnight cloud fraction or wind speed. Traders are therefore weighting the latest model runs and any updated guidance from regional meteorological centers that could narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日莫斯科最低气温？
9月17日莫斯科最低气温？
13°C或更高 94%
3°C或以下 87%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
3°C或以下
87%
4°C
16%
5°C
18%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
24%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
40%
12°C
19%
13°C或更高
94%
13°C或更高 94%
3°C或以下 87%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
3°C或以下
$0 交易量
87%
4°C
$0 交易量
16%
5°C
$0 交易量
18%
6°C
$0 交易量
40%
7°C
$0 交易量
40%
8°C
$0 交易量
24%
9°C
$0 交易量
22%
10°C
$0 交易量
22%
11°C
$0 交易量
40%
12°C
$0 交易量
19%
13°C或更高
$0 交易量
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from global models points to a Moscow nighttime low near 11–13 °C on September 17, driven by southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiational cooling.** Ensemble spreads, however, keep substantial probability on both cooler clear-sky outcomes below 8 °C and milder advection scenarios above 13 °C, which aligns with the near-even market split at 41 % for each tail. Historical September 17 lows average roughly 8 °C, so the present setup sits on the warmer side of climatology yet remains sensitive to small shifts in overnight cloud fraction or wind speed. Traders are therefore weighting the latest model runs and any updated guidance from regional meteorological centers that could narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from global models points to a Moscow nighttime low near 11–13 °C on September 17, driven by southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiational cooling.** Ensemble spreads, however, keep substantial probability on both cooler clear-sky outcomes below 8 °C and milder advection scenarios above 13 °C, which aligns with the near-even market split at 41 % for each tail. Historical September 17 lows average roughly 8 °C, so the present setup sits on the warmer side of climatology yet remains sensitive to small shifts in overnight cloud fraction or wind speed. Traders are therefore weighting the latest model runs and any updated guidance from regional meteorological centers that could narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Current forecast consensus from global models points to a Moscow nighttime low near 11–13 °C on September 17, driven by southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiational cooling.** Ensemble spreads, however, keep substantial probability on both cooler clear-sky outcomes below 8 °C and milder advection scenarios above 13 °C, which aligns with the near-even market split at 41 % for each tail. Historical September 17 lows average roughly 8 °C, so the present setup sits on the warmer side of climatology yet remains sensitive to small shifts in overnight cloud fraction or wind speed. Traders are therefore weighting the latest model runs and any updated guidance from regional meteorological centers that could narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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