**Persistent rain and cloud cover associated with northerly flow are expected to limit daytime heating in Tokyo on September 16, keeping the maximum temperature in the 22–25 °C range.** Official forecasts from multiple models indicate widespread showers and thunderstorms, with highs centered near 22–23 °C under overcast skies and northeast winds that advect cooler maritime air. This pattern follows the passage of a frontal system that has already lowered temperatures from the mid-20s °C seen earlier in the week. Trader positioning, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 23 °C, 24 °C, and 25 °C, aligns with this consensus while leaving room for minor model variations in exact peak values or brief clearing. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日东京气温最高？
9月16日东京气温最高？
24°C 33%
25°C 26%
23°C 21%
22°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
19°C或以下
4%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
10%
23°C
21%
24°C
33%
25°C
26%
26°C
10%
27°C
6%
28°C
5%
29°C或更高
2%
24°C 33%
25°C 26%
23°C 21%
22°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
19°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
20°C
$4 交易量
3%
21°C
$4 交易量
7%
22°C
$9 交易量
10%
23°C
$139 交易量
21%
24°C
$217 交易量
33%
25°C
$4 交易量
26%
26°C
$119 交易量
10%
27°C
$20 交易量
6%
28°C
$10 交易量
5%
29°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rain and cloud cover associated with northerly flow are expected to limit daytime heating in Tokyo on September 16, keeping the maximum temperature in the 22–25 °C range.** Official forecasts from multiple models indicate widespread showers and thunderstorms, with highs centered near 22–23 °C under overcast skies and northeast winds that advect cooler maritime air. This pattern follows the passage of a frontal system that has already lowered temperatures from the mid-20s °C seen earlier in the week. Trader positioning, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 23 °C, 24 °C, and 25 °C, aligns with this consensus while leaving room for minor model variations in exact peak values or brief clearing. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$467结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rain and cloud cover associated with northerly flow are expected to limit daytime heating in Tokyo on September 16, keeping the maximum temperature in the 22–25 °C range.** Official forecasts from multiple models indicate widespread showers and thunderstorms, with highs centered near 22–23 °C under overcast skies and northeast winds that advect cooler maritime air. This pattern follows the passage of a frontal system that has already lowered temperatures from the mid-20s °C seen earlier in the week. Trader positioning, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 23 °C, 24 °C, and 25 °C, aligns with this consensus while leaving room for minor model variations in exact peak values or brief clearing. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$467结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Persistent rain and cloud cover associated with northerly flow are expected to limit daytime heating in Tokyo on September 16, keeping the maximum temperature in the 22–25 °C range.** Official forecasts from multiple models indicate widespread showers and thunderstorms, with highs centered near 22–23 °C under overcast skies and northeast winds that advect cooler maritime air. This pattern follows the passage of a frontal system that has already lowered temperatures from the mid-20s °C seen earlier in the week. Trader positioning, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 23 °C, 24 °C, and 25 °C, aligns with this consensus while leaving room for minor model variations in exact peak values or brief clearing. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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