Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models project Houston's overnight low on September 16 around 78–81°F amid persistent southeasterly flow, high dew points near 75°F, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with recent warm, humid patterns featuring heat indices above 105°F and no approaching cold front. Historical September 16 lows average 72.5°F, with records showing rare drops below 65°F, yet trader pricing places nearly equal weight on sub-71°F or 90°F+ outcomes alongside 20% probabilities for each 2°F band near 78–89°F. Upcoming model runs and surface observations will clarify whether modest cooling or continued moisture advection shifts the minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日休斯顿最低温度?
71°F或以下 100%
90华氏度或更高 98%
78-79°F 40%
80-81°F 40%
71°F或以下
100%
72-73°F
39%
74-75华氏度
39%
76-77华氏度
39%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
39%
90华氏度或更高
98%
71°F或以下 100%
90华氏度或更高 98%
78-79°F 40%
80-81°F 40%
71°F或以下
100%
72-73°F
39%
74-75华氏度
39%
76-77华氏度
39%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
39%
90华氏度或更高
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 14, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models project Houston's overnight low on September 16 around 78–81°F amid persistent southeasterly flow, high dew points near 75°F, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with recent warm, humid patterns featuring heat indices above 105°F and no approaching cold front. Historical September 16 lows average 72.5°F, with records showing rare drops below 65°F, yet trader pricing places nearly equal weight on sub-71°F or 90°F+ outcomes alongside 20% probabilities for each 2°F band near 78–89°F. Upcoming model runs and surface observations will clarify whether modest cooling or continued moisture advection shifts the minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题