Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by southerly flow and high dew points are keeping overnight lows elevated across the Houston area, with National Weather Service and multiple forecast models projecting minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s for September 14. This setup favors the 78-79°F bin as the leading market-implied outcome, reflecting limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and typical late-summer atmospheric moisture. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variation, with no strong cold front or dry-air intrusion expected before mid-month to drive sharper overnight drops. Traders are pricing in the small but non-zero chance of slightly warmer minima if cloud cover or urban heat effects intensify, while the narrow spread among mid-70s bins underscores genuine uncertainty in exact minimum readings near resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日休斯顿最低温度？
9月14日休斯顿最低温度？
71°F或更低 81%
华氏90度或更高 81%
78-79°F 54%
82-83°F 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
71°F或更低
81%
72-73°F
23%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
54%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
39%
华氏90度或更高
81%
71°F或更低 81%
华氏90度或更高 81%
78-79°F 54%
82-83°F 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
71°F或更低
$0 交易量
81%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
23%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
23%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
14%
78-79°F
$103 交易量
54%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
13%
82-83°F
$42 交易量
39%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
39%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
39%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
39%
华氏90度或更高
$0 交易量
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by southerly flow and high dew points are keeping overnight lows elevated across the Houston area, with National Weather Service and multiple forecast models projecting minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s for September 14. This setup favors the 78-79°F bin as the leading market-implied outcome, reflecting limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and typical late-summer atmospheric moisture. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variation, with no strong cold front or dry-air intrusion expected before mid-month to drive sharper overnight drops. Traders are pricing in the small but non-zero chance of slightly warmer minima if cloud cover or urban heat effects intensify, while the narrow spread among mid-70s bins underscores genuine uncertainty in exact minimum readings near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
交易量
$145结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 3:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by southerly flow and high dew points are keeping overnight lows elevated across the Houston area, with National Weather Service and multiple forecast models projecting minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s for September 14. This setup favors the 78-79°F bin as the leading market-implied outcome, reflecting limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and typical late-summer atmospheric moisture. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variation, with no strong cold front or dry-air intrusion expected before mid-month to drive sharper overnight drops. Traders are pricing in the small but non-zero chance of slightly warmer minima if cloud cover or urban heat effects intensify, while the narrow spread among mid-70s bins underscores genuine uncertainty in exact minimum readings near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$145结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 3:30 AM ETPersistent warm, humid conditions driven by southerly flow and high dew points are keeping overnight lows elevated across the Houston area, with National Weather Service and multiple forecast models projecting minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s for September 14. This setup favors the 78-79°F bin as the leading market-implied outcome, reflecting limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and typical late-summer atmospheric moisture. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variation, with no strong cold front or dry-air intrusion expected before mid-month to drive sharper overnight drops. Traders are pricing in the small but non-zero chance of slightly warmer minima if cloud cover or urban heat effects intensify, while the narrow spread among mid-70s bins underscores genuine uncertainty in exact minimum readings near resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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