Official forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service project a high in the upper 90s to near 100°F for Austin on September 16 under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and strong late-summer solar heating. This setup supports the market's heavy weighting toward 98-99°F (58%) and 100-101°F (32%), consistent with recent daily highs of 98-101°F and the date's historical maximum of 99°F. Model consensus shows limited cooling influence from any weak frontal activity or increased cloud cover, though afternoon heat indices could exceed 105°F without altering the actual air temperature outcome. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日奥斯汀的最高温度？
9月16日奥斯汀的最高温度？
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 7%
102-103°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93华氏度
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
57%
100-101°F
32%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108°F或更高
<1%
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 7%
102-103°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
89°F或以下
$449 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$444 交易量
<1%
92-93华氏度
$359 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$50 交易量
2%
96-97°F
$420 交易量
7%
98-99°F
$1,602 交易量
57%
100-101°F
$3,078 交易量
32%
102-103°F
$1,403 交易量
4%
104-105°F
$578 交易量
1%
106-107°F
$686 交易量
1%
108°F或更高
$214 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service project a high in the upper 90s to near 100°F for Austin on September 16 under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and strong late-summer solar heating. This setup supports the market's heavy weighting toward 98-99°F (58%) and 100-101°F (32%), consistent with recent daily highs of 98-101°F and the date's historical maximum of 99°F. Model consensus shows limited cooling influence from any weak frontal activity or increased cloud cover, though afternoon heat indices could exceed 105°F without altering the actual air temperature outcome. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$9,281结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service project a high in the upper 90s to near 100°F for Austin on September 16 under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and strong late-summer solar heating. This setup supports the market's heavy weighting toward 98-99°F (58%) and 100-101°F (32%), consistent with recent daily highs of 98-101°F and the date's historical maximum of 99°F. Model consensus shows limited cooling influence from any weak frontal activity or increased cloud cover, though afternoon heat indices could exceed 105°F without altering the actual air temperature outcome. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,281结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ETOfficial forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service project a high in the upper 90s to near 100°F for Austin on September 16 under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and strong late-summer solar heating. This setup supports the market's heavy weighting toward 98-99°F (58%) and 100-101°F (32%), consistent with recent daily highs of 98-101°F and the date's historical maximum of 99°F. Model consensus shows limited cooling influence from any weak frontal activity or increased cloud cover, though afternoon heat indices could exceed 105°F without altering the actual air temperature outcome. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题