The market's overwhelming consensus on a 7°C minimum for Buenos Aires on September 17, 2026, reflects official station observations confirming that exact low under clear skies and light northerly flow. Surface data showed overnight radiative cooling typical for early spring, with temperatures bottoming near dawn before rapid daytime recovery to highs near 21–22°C. Model consensus from prior days aligned closely with this outcome, and no revisions to station readings have altered the result. A shift to 6°C or below would require either colder advection or greater cloud-free cooling than observed, scenarios not supported by the final verified measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度?
7°C 100.0%
6°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$1,528 交易量
$1,528 交易量
6°C或以下
否
7°C
是
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C或更高
否
7°C 100.0%
6°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$1,528 交易量
$1,528 交易量
6°C或以下
否
7°C
是
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The market's overwhelming consensus on a 7°C minimum for Buenos Aires on September 17, 2026, reflects official station observations confirming that exact low under clear skies and light northerly flow. Surface data showed overnight radiative cooling typical for early spring, with temperatures bottoming near dawn before rapid daytime recovery to highs near 21–22°C. Model consensus from prior days aligned closely with this outcome, and no revisions to station readings have altered the result. A shift to 6°C or below would require either colder advection or greater cloud-free cooling than observed, scenarios not supported by the final verified measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题