**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 31°C as the expected daily maximum on September 16, 2026, under a fresh northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone producing generally fine, dry conditions after early clouds and isolated showers.** Current observations show temperatures climbing into the upper 20s to low 30s across stations, consistent with the 27–31°C range and supporting the market’s 50% implied probability for 31°C. Nearby outcomes at 30°C and 32°C capture residual uncertainty from local microclimates, wind timing, and exact peak-hour readings, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given the stable synoptic pattern and model consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日香港气温最高？
9月16日香港气温最高？
31°C 45%
30°C 29%
32°C 24%
29°C 5%
最新
$40,866 交易量
最新
$40,866 交易量
2026-09-16
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30°C
29%
31°C
45%
32°C
24%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或更高
<1%
31°C 45%
30°C 29%
32°C 24%
29°C 5%
最新
$40,866 交易量
最新
$40,866 交易量
2026-09-16
25°C或以下
$704 交易量
<1%
26°C
$251 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,346 交易量
<1%
28°C
$19,320 交易量
<1%
29°C
$3,628 交易量
5%
30°C
$2,242 交易量
29%
31°C
$3,789 交易量
45%
32°C
$3,467 交易量
24%
33°C
$3,448 交易量
1%
34°C
$731 交易量
<1%
35°C或更高
$1,941 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 31°C as the expected daily maximum on September 16, 2026, under a fresh northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone producing generally fine, dry conditions after early clouds and isolated showers.**
Current observations show temperatures climbing into the upper 20s to low 30s across stations, consistent with the 27–31°C range and supporting the market’s 50% implied probability for 31°C. Nearby outcomes at 30°C and 32°C capture residual uncertainty from local microclimates, wind timing, and exact peak-hour readings, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given the stable synoptic pattern and model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$40,866结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 31°C as the expected daily maximum on September 16, 2026, under a fresh northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone producing generally fine, dry conditions after early clouds and isolated showers.**
Current observations show temperatures climbing into the upper 20s to low 30s across stations, consistent with the 27–31°C range and supporting the market’s 50% implied probability for 31°C. Nearby outcomes at 30°C and 32°C capture residual uncertainty from local microclimates, wind timing, and exact peak-hour readings, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given the stable synoptic pattern and model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$40,866结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 31°C as the expected daily maximum on September 16, 2026, under a fresh northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone producing generally fine, dry conditions after early clouds and isolated showers.** Current observations show temperatures climbing into the upper 20s to low 30s across stations, consistent with the 27–31°C range and supporting the market’s 50% implied probability for 31°C. Nearby outcomes at 30°C and 32°C capture residual uncertainty from local microclimates, wind timing, and exact peak-hour readings, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given the stable synoptic pattern and model consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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