Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's September 14 high will likely reach 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with northeast winds of 10–15 km/h. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and peak insolation explain the near-even split in trader sentiment between these two outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows limited precipitation risk and dew points near 18°C, supporting modest daytime warming consistent with early-autumn climatology. Official verification by the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market based on the recorded maximum at standard observation sites.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日上海气温最高?
28°C 46%
29°C 45%
30°C 6%
27°C 5%
$15,904 交易量
$15,904 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
46%
29°C
45%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
28°C 46%
29°C 45%
30°C 6%
27°C 5%
$15,904 交易量
$15,904 交易量
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
46%
29°C
45%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's September 14 high will likely reach 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with northeast winds of 10–15 km/h. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and peak insolation explain the near-even split in trader sentiment between these two outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows limited precipitation risk and dew points near 18°C, supporting modest daytime warming consistent with early-autumn climatology. Official verification by the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market based on the recorded maximum at standard observation sites.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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