Stable atmospheric conditions over Shanghai, including light northeast winds and partly cloudy skies, have supported overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 24°C on September 13, aligning with National Meteorological Center guidance and multiple ensemble forecasts. This pattern reflects typical early-autumn subtropical high-pressure influence, with dew points around 18–20°C limiting further temperature drops and historical September lows rarely falling below 22°C under similar setups. The 96% market-implied probability for 24°C captures this strong model consensus, though a modest increase in cloud cover or wind shift could allow the low to settle at 23°C if boundary-layer mixing weakens more than anticipated.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日上海最低气温？
9月13日上海最低气温？
24°C 96%
23°C 5%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,349 交易量
$14,349 交易量
2026-09-13
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
5%
24°C
96%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
24°C 96%
23°C 5%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,349 交易量
$14,349 交易量
2026-09-13
19°C或以下
$256 交易量
<1%
20°C
$93 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,255 交易量
<1%
22°C
$3,562 交易量
<1%
23°C
$2,836 交易量
5%
24°C
$4,280 交易量
96%
25°C
$2,535 交易量
<1%
26°C
$193 交易量
<1%
27°C
$193 交易量
<1%
28°C
$93 交易量
<1%
29°C或更高
$163 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable atmospheric conditions over Shanghai, including light northeast winds and partly cloudy skies, have supported overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 24°C on September 13, aligning with National Meteorological Center guidance and multiple ensemble forecasts. This pattern reflects typical early-autumn subtropical high-pressure influence, with dew points around 18–20°C limiting further temperature drops and historical September lows rarely falling below 22°C under similar setups. The 96% market-implied probability for 24°C captures this strong model consensus, though a modest increase in cloud cover or wind shift could allow the low to settle at 23°C if boundary-layer mixing weakens more than anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$14,349结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable atmospheric conditions over Shanghai, including light northeast winds and partly cloudy skies, have supported overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 24°C on September 13, aligning with National Meteorological Center guidance and multiple ensemble forecasts. This pattern reflects typical early-autumn subtropical high-pressure influence, with dew points around 18–20°C limiting further temperature drops and historical September lows rarely falling below 22°C under similar setups. The 96% market-implied probability for 24°C captures this strong model consensus, though a modest increase in cloud cover or wind shift could allow the low to settle at 23°C if boundary-layer mixing weakens more than anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,349结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETStable atmospheric conditions over Shanghai, including light northeast winds and partly cloudy skies, have supported overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 24°C on September 13, aligning with National Meteorological Center guidance and multiple ensemble forecasts. This pattern reflects typical early-autumn subtropical high-pressure influence, with dew points around 18–20°C limiting further temperature drops and historical September lows rarely falling below 22°C under similar setups. The 96% market-implied probability for 24°C captures this strong model consensus, though a modest increase in cloud cover or wind shift could allow the low to settle at 23°C if boundary-layer mixing weakens more than anticipated.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题