Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show Beijing under high pressure with mostly clear skies and light southerly winds on September 14, supporting a daily maximum near 27–28°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from variations in predicted boundary-layer mixing, the exact timing of any northerly wind shift, and minor discrepancies in surface heating under dry autumn conditions. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration aligns with this range, though ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to small changes in advection or cloud cover. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against historical September baselines around 26–29°C when assessing the narrow spread between 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日北京气温最高？
9月14日北京气温最高？
28°C 45%
27°C 37%
29°C 14%
26°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
21°C或以下
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
11%
27°C
32%
28°C
45%
29°C
14%
30°C
5%
31°C或更高
6%
28°C 45%
27°C 37%
29°C 14%
26°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
3%
22°C
$0 交易量
3%
23°C
$0 交易量
3%
24°C
$0 交易量
3%
25°C
$50 交易量
4%
26°C
$286 交易量
11%
27°C
$115 交易量
32%
28°C
$179 交易量
45%
29°C
$370 交易量
14%
30°C
$0 交易量
5%
31°C或更高
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show Beijing under high pressure with mostly clear skies and light southerly winds on September 14, supporting a daily maximum near 27–28°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from variations in predicted boundary-layer mixing, the exact timing of any northerly wind shift, and minor discrepancies in surface heating under dry autumn conditions. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration aligns with this range, though ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to small changes in advection or cloud cover. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against historical September baselines around 26–29°C when assessing the narrow spread between 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$818结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show Beijing under high pressure with mostly clear skies and light southerly winds on September 14, supporting a daily maximum near 27–28°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from variations in predicted boundary-layer mixing, the exact timing of any northerly wind shift, and minor discrepancies in surface heating under dry autumn conditions. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration aligns with this range, though ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to small changes in advection or cloud cover. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against historical September baselines around 26–29°C when assessing the narrow spread between 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$818结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show Beijing under high pressure with mostly clear skies and light southerly winds on September 14, supporting a daily maximum near 27–28°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from variations in predicted boundary-layer mixing, the exact timing of any northerly wind shift, and minor discrepancies in surface heating under dry autumn conditions. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration aligns with this range, though ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to small changes in advection or cloud cover. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against historical September baselines around 26–29°C when assessing the narrow spread between 27°C and 28°C implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题