Current forecasts from multiple models project a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in Beijing on September 14 under mostly clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions typical of mid-September. This aligns with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 16.4°C and recent years’ observations. The near-even market split between 9°C or below and 19°C or higher, alongside elevated probabilities around 16–17°C, reflects short-term model variability and sensitivity to any late adjustments in steering patterns or radiative cooling overnight. Historical extremes for the date range from 10.4°C to highs above 20°C, underscoring how small shifts in timing or air mass can alter the outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日北京最低气温？
9月14日北京最低气温？
9°C或以下 97%
19°C或更高 97%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
9°C或以下
97%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
39%
16°C
21%
17°C
21%
18°C
16%
19°C或更高
97%
9°C或以下 97%
19°C或更高 97%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
9°C或以下
$0 交易量
97%
10°C
$0 交易量
39%
11°C
$0 交易量
39%
12°C
$0 交易量
39%
13°C
$0 交易量
40%
14°C
$0 交易量
40%
15°C
$0 交易量
39%
16°C
$0 交易量
21%
17°C
$0 交易量
21%
18°C
$210 交易量
16%
19°C或更高
$0 交易量
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models project a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in Beijing on September 14 under mostly clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions typical of mid-September. This aligns with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 16.4°C and recent years’ observations. The near-even market split between 9°C or below and 19°C or higher, alongside elevated probabilities around 16–17°C, reflects short-term model variability and sensitivity to any late adjustments in steering patterns or radiative cooling overnight. Historical extremes for the date range from 10.4°C to highs above 20°C, underscoring how small shifts in timing or air mass can alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$210结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models project a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in Beijing on September 14 under mostly clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions typical of mid-September. This aligns with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 16.4°C and recent years’ observations. The near-even market split between 9°C or below and 19°C or higher, alongside elevated probabilities around 16–17°C, reflects short-term model variability and sensitivity to any late adjustments in steering patterns or radiative cooling overnight. Historical extremes for the date range from 10.4°C to highs above 20°C, underscoring how small shifts in timing or air mass can alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$210结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models project a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in Beijing on September 14 under mostly clear skies, light winds, and dry conditions typical of mid-September. This aligns with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 16.4°C and recent years’ observations. The near-even market split between 9°C or below and 19°C or higher, alongside elevated probabilities around 16–17°C, reflects short-term model variability and sensitivity to any late adjustments in steering patterns or radiative cooling overnight. Historical extremes for the date range from 10.4°C to highs above 20°C, underscoring how small shifts in timing or air mass can alter the outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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