Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate mostly clear skies and light northerly to southerly winds over Qingdao on September 14, supporting daytime warming under stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-September. Coastal location and marine influence moderate peaks, with model consensus centering on a daily maximum near 26–28 °C and low precipitation risk. Historical September averages of 26 °C provide context, while slight variations across runs (some reaching 29 °C) and current conditions near 25–27 °C on the 13th explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 29–30 °C. Updated model guidance and official station readings expected overnight will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日青岛气温最高？
9月14日青岛气温最高？
29°C 49%
30°C 37%
28°C 8%
31°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
24℃或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
49%
30°C
37%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
29°C 49%
30°C 37%
28°C 8%
31°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
24℃或以下
$363 交易量
<1%
25°C
$277 交易量
<1%
26°C
$0 交易量
<1%
27°C
$257 交易量
2%
28°C
$236 交易量
8%
29°C
$1,641 交易量
49%
30°C
$419 交易量
37%
31°C
$572 交易量
8%
32°C
$210 交易量
2%
33°C
$213 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$531 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate mostly clear skies and light northerly to southerly winds over Qingdao on September 14, supporting daytime warming under stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-September. Coastal location and marine influence moderate peaks, with model consensus centering on a daily maximum near 26–28 °C and low precipitation risk. Historical September averages of 26 °C provide context, while slight variations across runs (some reaching 29 °C) and current conditions near 25–27 °C on the 13th explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 29–30 °C. Updated model guidance and official station readings expected overnight will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$4,719结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate mostly clear skies and light northerly to southerly winds over Qingdao on September 14, supporting daytime warming under stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-September. Coastal location and marine influence moderate peaks, with model consensus centering on a daily maximum near 26–28 °C and low precipitation risk. Historical September averages of 26 °C provide context, while slight variations across runs (some reaching 29 °C) and current conditions near 25–27 °C on the 13th explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 29–30 °C. Updated model guidance and official station readings expected overnight will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,719结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate mostly clear skies and light northerly to southerly winds over Qingdao on September 14, supporting daytime warming under stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-September. Coastal location and marine influence moderate peaks, with model consensus centering on a daily maximum near 26–28 °C and low precipitation risk. Historical September averages of 26 °C provide context, while slight variations across runs (some reaching 29 °C) and current conditions near 25–27 °C on the 13th explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 29–30 °C. Updated model guidance and official station readings expected overnight will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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