Recent model runs and observational trends point to modest overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies for Qingdao on September 14, with expected minima near 19–22 °C moderated by coastal humidity and light northerly winds. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even 51.5 % implied probability for 15 °C or below versus 50 % for exactly 16 °C, hinges on subtle differences in dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing that determine whether the official minimum at monitoring sites reaches the lower threshold. Sea-breeze influences and typical September climatology around 18 °C provide context for this tight spread, while the next METAR sequence from Qingdao Jiaodong Airport will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日青岛最低气温？
9月14日青岛最低气温？
15°C或以下 52%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
15°C或以下
52%
16°C
50%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
15°C或以下 52%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
15°C或以下
$41 交易量
52%
16°C
$7 交易量
50%
17°C
$177 交易量
<1%
18°C
$268 交易量
<1%
19°C
$197 交易量
<1%
20°C
$0 交易量
<1%
21°C
$0 交易量
<1%
22°C
$0 交易量
<1%
23°C
$0 交易量
<1%
24°C
$0 交易量
<1%
25°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and observational trends point to modest overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies for Qingdao on September 14, with expected minima near 19–22 °C moderated by coastal humidity and light northerly winds. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even 51.5 % implied probability for 15 °C or below versus 50 % for exactly 16 °C, hinges on subtle differences in dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing that determine whether the official minimum at monitoring sites reaches the lower threshold. Sea-breeze influences and typical September climatology around 18 °C provide context for this tight spread, while the next METAR sequence from Qingdao Jiaodong Airport will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$690结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and observational trends point to modest overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies for Qingdao on September 14, with expected minima near 19–22 °C moderated by coastal humidity and light northerly winds. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even 51.5 % implied probability for 15 °C or below versus 50 % for exactly 16 °C, hinges on subtle differences in dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing that determine whether the official minimum at monitoring sites reaches the lower threshold. Sea-breeze influences and typical September climatology around 18 °C provide context for this tight spread, while the next METAR sequence from Qingdao Jiaodong Airport will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$690结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent model runs and observational trends point to modest overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies for Qingdao on September 14, with expected minima near 19–22 °C moderated by coastal humidity and light northerly winds. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even 51.5 % implied probability for 15 °C or below versus 50 % for exactly 16 °C, hinges on subtle differences in dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing that determine whether the official minimum at monitoring sites reaches the lower threshold. Sea-breeze influences and typical September climatology around 18 °C provide context for this tight spread, while the next METAR sequence from Qingdao Jiaodong Airport will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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