Forecast models from sources including the GFS and Met Office project Moscow's minimum temperature on September 15 to reach 8–10 °C overnight, driven by mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds of 2–4 m/s, and radiative cooling under high pressure near 1017 hPa. These conditions allow surface heat loss after daytime highs of 14–17 °C, aligning with the climatological average low of about 8 °C for the date. Trader consensus clusters around 9–10 °C because small differences in model timing of the minimum, residual cloud cover, or dew-point depression can shift the exact low by 1 °C. Updated hourly observations through late evening show temperatures already falling through 11–12 °C, with final resolution depending on the coldest reading before sunrise.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日莫斯科最低气温？
9月15日莫斯科最低气温？
10°C 99.5%
9°C 1.0%
3°C或以下 <1%
4°C <1%
$1,867 交易量
$1,867 交易量
2026-09-15
3°C或以下
否
4°C
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
是
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C或更高
否
10°C 99.5%
9°C 1.0%
3°C或以下 <1%
4°C <1%
$1,867 交易量
$1,867 交易量
2026-09-15
3°C或以下
$60 交易量
否
4°C
$76 交易量
否
5°C
$177 交易量
否
6°C
$255 交易量
否
7°C
$137 交易量
否
8°C
$46 交易量
否
9°C
$46 交易量
否
10°C
$25 交易量
是
11°C
$217 交易量
否
12°C
$491 交易量
否
13°C或更高
$338 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS and Met Office project Moscow's minimum temperature on September 15 to reach 8–10 °C overnight, driven by mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds of 2–4 m/s, and radiative cooling under high pressure near 1017 hPa. These conditions allow surface heat loss after daytime highs of 14–17 °C, aligning with the climatological average low of about 8 °C for the date. Trader consensus clusters around 9–10 °C because small differences in model timing of the minimum, residual cloud cover, or dew-point depression can shift the exact low by 1 °C. Updated hourly observations through late evening show temperatures already falling through 11–12 °C, with final resolution depending on the coldest reading before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
交易量
$1,867结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS and Met Office project Moscow's minimum temperature on September 15 to reach 8–10 °C overnight, driven by mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds of 2–4 m/s, and radiative cooling under high pressure near 1017 hPa. These conditions allow surface heat loss after daytime highs of 14–17 °C, aligning with the climatological average low of about 8 °C for the date. Trader consensus clusters around 9–10 °C because small differences in model timing of the minimum, residual cloud cover, or dew-point depression can shift the exact low by 1 °C. Updated hourly observations through late evening show temperatures already falling through 11–12 °C, with final resolution depending on the coldest reading before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,867结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Forecast models from sources including the GFS and Met Office project Moscow's minimum temperature on September 15 to reach 8–10 °C overnight, driven by mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds of 2–4 m/s, and radiative cooling under high pressure near 1017 hPa. These conditions allow surface heat loss after daytime highs of 14–17 °C, aligning with the climatological average low of about 8 °C for the date. Trader consensus clusters around 9–10 °C because small differences in model timing of the minimum, residual cloud cover, or dew-point depression can shift the exact low by 1 °C. Updated hourly observations through late evening show temperatures already falling through 11–12 °C, with final resolution depending on the coldest reading before sunrise.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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