**Current forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS-based models indicate an overnight minimum near 11–13 °C for Moscow on September 21, 2026, with daytime highs reaching 20–22 °C under variable cloud cover and southerly flow.** This tight clustering around 11 °C and 13 °C explains the near-even market-implied odds, as small differences in cloud timing, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C. Southerly winds of 7–12 m/s limit radiative cooling, while any evening showers or increased low-level moisture could push readings toward the lower end. Official observations and updated model runs through the night remain the key variables traders are monitoring for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日莫斯科最低气温？
9月21日莫斯科最低气温？
13°C 100%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$298 交易量
$298 交易量
2026-09-21
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
是
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或更高
否
13°C 100%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$298 交易量
$298 交易量
2026-09-21
8°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
9°C
$0 交易量
否
10°C
$0 交易量
否
11°C
$0 交易量
否
12°C
$0 交易量
否
13°C
$200 交易量
是
14°C
$51 交易量
否
15°C
$15 交易量
否
16°C
$0 交易量
否
17°C
$0 交易量
否
18°C或更高
$32 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS-based models indicate an overnight minimum near 11–13 °C for Moscow on September 21, 2026, with daytime highs reaching 20–22 °C under variable cloud cover and southerly flow.** This tight clustering around 11 °C and 13 °C explains the near-even market-implied odds, as small differences in cloud timing, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C. Southerly winds of 7–12 m/s limit radiative cooling, while any evening showers or increased low-level moisture could push readings toward the lower end. Official observations and updated model runs through the night remain the key variables traders are monitoring for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$298结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS-based models indicate an overnight minimum near 11–13 °C for Moscow on September 21, 2026, with daytime highs reaching 20–22 °C under variable cloud cover and southerly flow.** This tight clustering around 11 °C and 13 °C explains the near-even market-implied odds, as small differences in cloud timing, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C. Southerly winds of 7–12 m/s limit radiative cooling, while any evening showers or increased low-level moisture could push readings toward the lower end. Official observations and updated model runs through the night remain the key variables traders are monitoring for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$298结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Current forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS-based models indicate an overnight minimum near 11–13 °C for Moscow on September 21, 2026, with daytime highs reaching 20–22 °C under variable cloud cover and southerly flow.** This tight clustering around 11 °C and 13 °C explains the near-even market-implied odds, as small differences in cloud timing, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C. Southerly winds of 7–12 m/s limit radiative cooling, while any evening showers or increased low-level moisture could push readings toward the lower end. Official observations and updated model runs through the night remain the key variables traders are monitoring for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题