Recent forecast models from sources including MetService and international guidance show a high-pressure system bringing sunny conditions and light northwesterly winds to Wellington on September 24, favoring a maximum near 13°C. This aligns closely with late-September climatology, where average daily highs reach about 13°C amid transitional spring patterns. Trader consensus on 13°C and 14°C outcomes reflects model agreement on stable atmospheric conditions that limit upward spikes from typical southerly influences or cloud cover, though minor forecast revisions remain possible with updated runs. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum observations at the primary Wellington station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月24日惠灵顿的最高温度?
13°C 55%
14°C 40%
12°C 5%
15°C 4%
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
55%
14°C
40%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C或更高
<1%
13°C 55%
14°C 40%
12°C 5%
15°C 4%
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
55%
14°C
40%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources including MetService and international guidance show a high-pressure system bringing sunny conditions and light northwesterly winds to Wellington on September 24, favoring a maximum near 13°C. This aligns closely with late-September climatology, where average daily highs reach about 13°C amid transitional spring patterns. Trader consensus on 13°C and 14°C outcomes reflects model agreement on stable atmospheric conditions that limit upward spikes from typical southerly influences or cloud cover, though minor forecast revisions remain possible with updated runs. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum observations at the primary Wellington station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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