Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 26 show highs clustered near 26–28°C amid the Hua Xi autumn rain regime, with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity (80%+) limiting daytime heating. Official updates from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and ensemble models indicate light easterly winds and rain probabilities above 70%, which suppress maximum temperatures by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Model spread across sources—ranging 26–29°C—arises from differences in predicted rainfall timing and cloud thickness, keeping market-implied odds evenly distributed from 26°C through 32°C. Updated runs expected before resolution will clarify whether any break in the overcast pattern allows brief warming.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月26日成都气温最高？
9月26日成都气温最高？
29°C 25%
28°C 23%
27°C 22%
30°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-09-26
23℃或以下
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
19%
27°C
22%
28°C
23%
29°C
25%
30°C
22%
31°C
19%
32°C
17%
33°C或更高
<1%
29°C 25%
28°C 23%
27°C 22%
30°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-09-26
23℃或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
24°C
$0 交易量
4%
25°C
$0 交易量
4%
26°C
$0 交易量
19%
27°C
$0 交易量
22%
28°C
$0 交易量
23%
29°C
$0 交易量
25%
30°C
$0 交易量
22%
31°C
$0 交易量
19%
32°C
$0 交易量
17%
33°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 26 show highs clustered near 26–28°C amid the Hua Xi autumn rain regime, with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity (80%+) limiting daytime heating. Official updates from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and ensemble models indicate light easterly winds and rain probabilities above 70%, which suppress maximum temperatures by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Model spread across sources—ranging 26–29°C—arises from differences in predicted rainfall timing and cloud thickness, keeping market-implied odds evenly distributed from 26°C through 32°C. Updated runs expected before resolution will clarify whether any break in the overcast pattern allows brief warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-26市场开放时间
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 26 show highs clustered near 26–28°C amid the Hua Xi autumn rain regime, with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity (80%+) limiting daytime heating. Official updates from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and ensemble models indicate light easterly winds and rain probabilities above 70%, which suppress maximum temperatures by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Model spread across sources—ranging 26–29°C—arises from differences in predicted rainfall timing and cloud thickness, keeping market-implied odds evenly distributed from 26°C through 32°C. Updated runs expected before resolution will clarify whether any break in the overcast pattern allows brief warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-26市场开放时间
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts for Chengdu on September 26 show highs clustered near 26–28°C amid the Hua Xi autumn rain regime, with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity (80%+) limiting daytime heating. Official updates from the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and ensemble models indicate light easterly winds and rain probabilities above 70%, which suppress maximum temperatures by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Model spread across sources—ranging 26–29°C—arises from differences in predicted rainfall timing and cloud thickness, keeping market-implied odds evenly distributed from 26°C through 32°C. Updated runs expected before resolution will clarify whether any break in the overcast pattern allows brief warming.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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