Latest numerical weather models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on September 24 will reach 33–34°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds that enhance daytime heating over the inland plateau. These conditions align with above-normal September warmth, where historical averages sit near 27–28°C, though model spread introduces modest uncertainty around exact maxima. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 34°C and 34% for 35°C captures this forecast agreement, with lower odds on 33°C or 36°C+ underscoring the narrow range of expected outcomes ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月24日马德里气温最高？
9月24日马德里气温最高？
34°C 56%
35°C 34%
33°C 13%
36℃ 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
6%
32°C
5%
33°C
13%
34°C
56%
35°C
34%
36℃
8%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C或更高
<1%
34°C 56%
35°C 34%
33°C 13%
36℃ 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
29°C或以下
$109 交易量
<1%
30°C
$0 交易量
4%
31°C
$0 交易量
6%
32°C
$0 交易量
5%
33°C
$183 交易量
13%
34°C
$217 交易量
56%
35°C
$265 交易量
34%
36℃
$5 交易量
8%
37°C
$0 交易量
5%
38°C
$0 交易量
2%
39°C或更高
$109 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on September 24 will reach 33–34°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds that enhance daytime heating over the inland plateau. These conditions align with above-normal September warmth, where historical averages sit near 27–28°C, though model spread introduces modest uncertainty around exact maxima. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 34°C and 34% for 35°C captures this forecast agreement, with lower odds on 33°C or 36°C+ underscoring the narrow range of expected outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$887结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on September 24 will reach 33–34°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds that enhance daytime heating over the inland plateau. These conditions align with above-normal September warmth, where historical averages sit near 27–28°C, though model spread introduces modest uncertainty around exact maxima. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 34°C and 34% for 35°C captures this forecast agreement, with lower odds on 33°C or 36°C+ underscoring the narrow range of expected outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$887结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETLatest numerical weather models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on September 24 will reach 33–34°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds that enhance daytime heating over the inland plateau. These conditions align with above-normal September warmth, where historical averages sit near 27–28°C, though model spread introduces modest uncertainty around exact maxima. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 34°C and 34% for 35°C captures this forecast agreement, with lower odds on 33°C or 36°C+ underscoring the narrow range of expected outcomes ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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