The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of a 27–32°C range under mainly fine, dry conditions driven by a moderating northeast monsoon and building high pressure aloft underpins the 94% market-implied probability for a 32°C high on September 24. Subsidence and light easterly winds favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with climatological late-September norms and current model consensus. Traders assign negligible odds to 33°C or higher given limited intensification potential before resolution. An unexpected surge in convective activity or thicker cloud build-up could cap readings below the forecast maximum, though official data through the afternoon will determine the final recorded peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月24日香港气温最高？
9月24日香港气温最高？
32°C 96%
33°C 5%
34°C <1%
25°C或以下 <1%
$80,422 交易量
$80,422 交易量
2026-09-24
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
96%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C或更高
<1%
32°C 96%
33°C 5%
34°C <1%
25°C或以下 <1%
$80,422 交易量
$80,422 交易量
2026-09-24
25°C或以下
$65 交易量
<1%
26°C
$95 交易量
<1%
27°C
$330 交易量
<1%
28°C
$855 交易量
<1%
29°C
$24,884 交易量
<1%
30°C
$21,192 交易量
<1%
31°C
$12,368 交易量
<1%
32°C
$8,010 交易量
96%
33°C
$8,575 交易量
5%
34°C
$3,383 交易量
<1%
35°C或更高
$666 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of a 27–32°C range under mainly fine, dry conditions driven by a moderating northeast monsoon and building high pressure aloft underpins the 94% market-implied probability for a 32°C high on September 24. Subsidence and light easterly winds favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with climatological late-September norms and current model consensus. Traders assign negligible odds to 33°C or higher given limited intensification potential before resolution. An unexpected surge in convective activity or thicker cloud build-up could cap readings below the forecast maximum, though official data through the afternoon will determine the final recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$80,422结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of a 27–32°C range under mainly fine, dry conditions driven by a moderating northeast monsoon and building high pressure aloft underpins the 94% market-implied probability for a 32°C high on September 24. Subsidence and light easterly winds favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with climatological late-September norms and current model consensus. Traders assign negligible odds to 33°C or higher given limited intensification potential before resolution. An unexpected surge in convective activity or thicker cloud build-up could cap readings below the forecast maximum, though official data through the afternoon will determine the final recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$80,422结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThe Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of a 27–32°C range under mainly fine, dry conditions driven by a moderating northeast monsoon and building high pressure aloft underpins the 94% market-implied probability for a 32°C high on September 24. Subsidence and light easterly winds favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with climatological late-September norms and current model consensus. Traders assign negligible odds to 33°C or higher given limited intensification potential before resolution. An unexpected surge in convective activity or thicker cloud build-up could cap readings below the forecast maximum, though official data through the afternoon will determine the final recorded peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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