Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 32°C for September 25 under mainly fine, dry conditions with light east to southeast winds as the northeast monsoon moderates. This setup favors strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with the market's leading 40.5% implied probability for 32°C. Recent model consensus and observational trends show subsidence and clear skies pushing daytime peaks toward the upper end of the typical late-September range, though localized urban heat effects or minor afternoon cloud buildup could trim the exact high by 1°C. Updated guidance ahead of the 25th will refine these odds as traders weigh the latest runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月25日香港气温最高？
9月25日香港气温最高？
32°C 41%
31°C 29%
33°C 16%
30°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
9%
31°C
29%
32°C
41%
33°C
16%
34°C
3%
35°C或更高
<1%
32°C 41%
31°C 29%
33°C 16%
30°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
25°C或以下
$90 交易量
<1%
26°C
$95 交易量
<1%
27°C
$355 交易量
<1%
28°C
$175 交易量
1%
29°C
$66 交易量
6%
30°C
$248 交易量
9%
31°C
$135 交易量
29%
32°C
$638 交易量
41%
33°C
$301 交易量
16%
34°C
$160 交易量
3%
35°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 32°C for September 25 under mainly fine, dry conditions with light east to southeast winds as the northeast monsoon moderates. This setup favors strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with the market's leading 40.5% implied probability for 32°C. Recent model consensus and observational trends show subsidence and clear skies pushing daytime peaks toward the upper end of the typical late-September range, though localized urban heat effects or minor afternoon cloud buildup could trim the exact high by 1°C. Updated guidance ahead of the 25th will refine these odds as traders weigh the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,263结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 32°C for September 25 under mainly fine, dry conditions with light east to southeast winds as the northeast monsoon moderates. This setup favors strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with the market's leading 40.5% implied probability for 32°C. Recent model consensus and observational trends show subsidence and clear skies pushing daytime peaks toward the upper end of the typical late-September range, though localized urban heat effects or minor afternoon cloud buildup could trim the exact high by 1°C. Updated guidance ahead of the 25th will refine these odds as traders weigh the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,263结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 32°C for September 25 under mainly fine, dry conditions with light east to southeast winds as the northeast monsoon moderates. This setup favors strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with the market's leading 40.5% implied probability for 32°C. Recent model consensus and observational trends show subsidence and clear skies pushing daytime peaks toward the upper end of the typical late-September range, though localized urban heat effects or minor afternoon cloud buildup could trim the exact high by 1°C. Updated guidance ahead of the 25th will refine these odds as traders weigh the latest runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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