**Recent official forecasts for Panama City, Panama, position 30–32°C as the most likely range for the September 25 maximum, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 31°C.** September climatology shows average highs near 31°C amid the rainy season, with daily maxima typically spanning 29–33°C depending on cloud cover and showers. A strengthening El Niño event, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +2.5°C, is contributing to reduced rainfall and clearer periods that support above-average warmth across the Pacific slope. National Meteorological and Hydrological Institute outlooks indicate maxima of 29–34°C region-wide, with model consensus pointing to limited intensification potential and low odds of 33°C+ or sub-29°C readings. Traders appear to weigh this stable tropical pattern and recent model guidance heavily, with the 31°C outcome capturing the central tendency of expected conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月25日巴拿马城气温最高？
9月25日巴拿马城气温最高？
31°C 42%
30°C 23%
32°C 19%
29°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
23°C或以下
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
6%
29°C
8%
30°C
23%
31°C
42%
32°C
19%
33°C或更高
8%
31°C 42%
30°C 23%
32°C 19%
29°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
23°C或以下
$50 交易量
2%
24°C
$25 交易量
<1%
25°C
$15 交易量
<1%
26°C
$10 交易量
2%
27°C
$10 交易量
5%
28°C
$7 交易量
6%
29°C
$5 交易量
8%
30°C
$3 交易量
23%
31°C
$70 交易量
42%
32°C
$319 交易量
19%
33°C或更高
$5 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts for Panama City, Panama, position 30–32°C as the most likely range for the September 25 maximum, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 31°C.** September climatology shows average highs near 31°C amid the rainy season, with daily maxima typically spanning 29–33°C depending on cloud cover and showers. A strengthening El Niño event, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +2.5°C, is contributing to reduced rainfall and clearer periods that support above-average warmth across the Pacific slope. National Meteorological and Hydrological Institute outlooks indicate maxima of 29–34°C region-wide, with model consensus pointing to limited intensification potential and low odds of 33°C+ or sub-29°C readings. Traders appear to weigh this stable tropical pattern and recent model guidance heavily, with the 31°C outcome capturing the central tendency of expected conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 23, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$520结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts for Panama City, Panama, position 30–32°C as the most likely range for the September 25 maximum, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 31°C.** September climatology shows average highs near 31°C amid the rainy season, with daily maxima typically spanning 29–33°C depending on cloud cover and showers. A strengthening El Niño event, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +2.5°C, is contributing to reduced rainfall and clearer periods that support above-average warmth across the Pacific slope. National Meteorological and Hydrological Institute outlooks indicate maxima of 29–34°C region-wide, with model consensus pointing to limited intensification potential and low odds of 33°C+ or sub-29°C readings. Traders appear to weigh this stable tropical pattern and recent model guidance heavily, with the 31°C outcome capturing the central tendency of expected conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$520结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 8:56 AM ET**Recent official forecasts for Panama City, Panama, position 30–32°C as the most likely range for the September 25 maximum, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 31°C.** September climatology shows average highs near 31°C amid the rainy season, with daily maxima typically spanning 29–33°C depending on cloud cover and showers. A strengthening El Niño event, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +2.5°C, is contributing to reduced rainfall and clearer periods that support above-average warmth across the Pacific slope. National Meteorological and Hydrological Institute outlooks indicate maxima of 29–34°C region-wide, with model consensus pointing to limited intensification potential and low odds of 33°C+ or sub-29°C readings. Traders appear to weigh this stable tropical pattern and recent model guidance heavily, with the 31°C outcome capturing the central tendency of expected conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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