Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a peak near 24–26°C on September 25 in Buenos Aires, with northerly flow initially boosting warmth before a west-to-southwest shift and increasing cloud cover limit further gains. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 27–29°C because small variations in daytime insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point recovery can add or subtract 1–2°C at the daily maximum, especially under partly cloudy conditions. These outcomes sit above the September climatological mean of roughly 18–22°C, reflecting the current warm advection pattern, while official updates from Argentine meteorological services and refined afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月25日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
9月25日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
28°C 28%
29°C 24%
27°C 23%
26°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
20°C或以下
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
10%
27°C
23%
28°C
28%
29°C
24%
30°C或更高
19%
28°C 28%
29°C 24%
27°C 23%
26°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
20°C或以下
$10 交易量
2%
21°C
$10 交易量
2%
22°C
$10 交易量
2%
23°C
$7 交易量
4%
24°C
$7 交易量
3%
25°C
$250 交易量
6%
26°C
$0 交易量
10%
27°C
$0 交易量
23%
28°C
$0 交易量
28%
29°C
$0 交易量
24%
30°C或更高
$5 交易量
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a peak near 24–26°C on September 25 in Buenos Aires, with northerly flow initially boosting warmth before a west-to-southwest shift and increasing cloud cover limit further gains. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 27–29°C because small variations in daytime insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point recovery can add or subtract 1–2°C at the daily maximum, especially under partly cloudy conditions. These outcomes sit above the September climatological mean of roughly 18–22°C, reflecting the current warm advection pattern, while official updates from Argentine meteorological services and refined afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 23, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$299结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a peak near 24–26°C on September 25 in Buenos Aires, with northerly flow initially boosting warmth before a west-to-southwest shift and increasing cloud cover limit further gains. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 27–29°C because small variations in daytime insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point recovery can add or subtract 1–2°C at the daily maximum, especially under partly cloudy conditions. These outcomes sit above the September climatological mean of roughly 18–22°C, reflecting the current warm advection pattern, while official updates from Argentine meteorological services and refined afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$299结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 8:55 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a peak near 24–26°C on September 25 in Buenos Aires, with northerly flow initially boosting warmth before a west-to-southwest shift and increasing cloud cover limit further gains. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 27–29°C because small variations in daytime insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and dew-point recovery can add or subtract 1–2°C at the daily maximum, especially under partly cloudy conditions. These outcomes sit above the September climatological mean of roughly 18–22°C, reflecting the current warm advection pattern, while official updates from Argentine meteorological services and refined afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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