Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a high of 18–19°C in Munich on September 23, 2026, under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies with light northeast to east winds and negligible precipitation risk around 7%. This aligns with the climatological average high of 18.6°C for the date and reflects stable high-pressure conditions suppressing significant warming or cooling. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 18°C (45.5%) and 19°C (31.5%), while lower probabilities for 20°C+ or 17°C and below reflect the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance. Updated model outputs and observational data ahead of the date will determine the precise maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月23日慕尼黑最高温度?
18°C 54%
19°C 32%
17°C 25%
21°C 17%
13°C或以下
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
16%
17°C
25%
18°C
54%
19°C
32%
20°C
16%
21°C
17%
22°C
2%
23°C或更高
2%
18°C 54%
19°C 32%
17°C 25%
21°C 17%
13°C或以下
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
16%
17°C
25%
18°C
54%
19°C
32%
20°C
16%
21°C
17%
22°C
2%
23°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a high of 18–19°C in Munich on September 23, 2026, under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies with light northeast to east winds and negligible precipitation risk around 7%. This aligns with the climatological average high of 18.6°C for the date and reflects stable high-pressure conditions suppressing significant warming or cooling. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 18°C (45.5%) and 19°C (31.5%), while lower probabilities for 20°C+ or 17°C and below reflect the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance. Updated model outputs and observational data ahead of the date will determine the precise maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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