Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models projects a high of 29°C in Shanghai on September 21 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, positioning that outcome as the market leader at 55% implied probability. Stable late-summer conditions with moderate humidity and no significant frontal systems or tropical moisture intrusions support temperatures clustered between 28–30°C, consistent with historical early-autumn baselines near 28–29°C. Minor model spread around 28°C keeps that outcome competitive at 35.5%, while limited upside potential for 30°C or above reflects modest warming signals in some guidance. Official observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau will determine resolution, with final model runs and real-time surface data expected to refine probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日上海气温最高？
9月21日上海气温最高？
29°C 55%
28°C 37%
30°C 8%
27°C 4%
最新
$13,378 交易量
最新
$13,378 交易量
2026-09-21
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
37%
29°C
55%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
29°C 55%
28°C 37%
30°C 8%
27°C 4%
最新
$13,378 交易量
最新
$13,378 交易量
2026-09-21
26°C或以下
$772 交易量
1%
27°C
$1,440 交易量
4%
28°C
$3,114 交易量
37%
29°C
$3,954 交易量
55%
30°C
$857 交易量
8%
31°C
$814 交易量
2%
32°C
$1,306 交易量
1%
33°C
$348 交易量
<1%
34°C
$191 交易量
<1%
35°C
$291 交易量
<1%
36°C或更高
$291 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models projects a high of 29°C in Shanghai on September 21 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, positioning that outcome as the market leader at 55% implied probability. Stable late-summer conditions with moderate humidity and no significant frontal systems or tropical moisture intrusions support temperatures clustered between 28–30°C, consistent with historical early-autumn baselines near 28–29°C. Minor model spread around 28°C keeps that outcome competitive at 35.5%, while limited upside potential for 30°C or above reflects modest warming signals in some guidance. Official observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau will determine resolution, with final model runs and real-time surface data expected to refine probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$13,378结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models projects a high of 29°C in Shanghai on September 21 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, positioning that outcome as the market leader at 55% implied probability. Stable late-summer conditions with moderate humidity and no significant frontal systems or tropical moisture intrusions support temperatures clustered between 28–30°C, consistent with historical early-autumn baselines near 28–29°C. Minor model spread around 28°C keeps that outcome competitive at 35.5%, while limited upside potential for 30°C or above reflects modest warming signals in some guidance. Official observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau will determine resolution, with final model runs and real-time surface data expected to refine probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,378结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models projects a high of 29°C in Shanghai on September 21 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, positioning that outcome as the market leader at 55% implied probability. Stable late-summer conditions with moderate humidity and no significant frontal systems or tropical moisture intrusions support temperatures clustered between 28–30°C, consistent with historical early-autumn baselines near 28–29°C. Minor model spread around 28°C keeps that outcome competitive at 35.5%, while limited upside potential for 30°C or above reflects modest warming signals in some guidance. Official observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau will determine resolution, with final model runs and real-time surface data expected to refine probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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