Recent forecasts for Shanghai on September 20 indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk, supporting daytime highs centered near 29–30°C according to consensus from models such as GFS. Persistent cloud cover and moderate onshore flow from the East China Sea are limiting solar heating and preventing stronger warming, while current conditions on September 18 show similar temperatures around 28–30°C amid light rain. These stable atmospheric patterns explain the market's emphasis on 29°C (50.5% implied probability) and 28°C (34.5%), with lower odds on 30°C reflecting uncertainty in exact peak readings amid variable cloud breaks. Official updates from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日上海气温最高？
9月20日上海气温最高？
29°C 55%
28°C 34%
30°C 10%
27°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
34%
29°C
55%
30°C
10%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
29°C 55%
28°C 34%
30°C 10%
27°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
25°C或以下
$136 交易量
<1%
26°C
$0 交易量
2%
27°C
$16 交易量
5%
28°C
$100 交易量
34%
29°C
$385 交易量
55%
30°C
$21 交易量
10%
31°C
$17 交易量
4%
32°C
$0 交易量
2%
33°C
$21 交易量
<1%
34°C
$137 交易量
<1%
35°C或以上
$203 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai on September 20 indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk, supporting daytime highs centered near 29–30°C according to consensus from models such as GFS. Persistent cloud cover and moderate onshore flow from the East China Sea are limiting solar heating and preventing stronger warming, while current conditions on September 18 show similar temperatures around 28–30°C amid light rain. These stable atmospheric patterns explain the market's emphasis on 29°C (50.5% implied probability) and 28°C (34.5%), with lower odds on 30°C reflecting uncertainty in exact peak readings amid variable cloud breaks. Official updates from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$1,037结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai on September 20 indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk, supporting daytime highs centered near 29–30°C according to consensus from models such as GFS. Persistent cloud cover and moderate onshore flow from the East China Sea are limiting solar heating and preventing stronger warming, while current conditions on September 18 show similar temperatures around 28–30°C amid light rain. These stable atmospheric patterns explain the market's emphasis on 29°C (50.5% implied probability) and 28°C (34.5%), with lower odds on 30°C reflecting uncertainty in exact peak readings amid variable cloud breaks. Official updates from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,037结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts for Shanghai on September 20 indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk, supporting daytime highs centered near 29–30°C according to consensus from models such as GFS. Persistent cloud cover and moderate onshore flow from the East China Sea are limiting solar heating and preventing stronger warming, while current conditions on September 18 show similar temperatures around 28–30°C amid light rain. These stable atmospheric patterns explain the market's emphasis on 29°C (50.5% implied probability) and 28°C (34.5%), with lower odds on 30°C reflecting uncertainty in exact peak readings amid variable cloud breaks. Official updates from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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