Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, PredictWind, and Yr.no indicate a September 18 high near 24–26 °C in Chengdu, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters on 24–27 °C because recent cool, rainy conditions (highs of 23–24 °C) have depressed temperatures below the long-term September average of ~25 °C, while model guidance shows modest clearing potential that could allow brief warming. Key differentiating factors include the degree of afternoon insolation under lingering monsoon moisture, boundary-layer humidity that suppresses surface maxima, and steering flow that may advect slightly warmer air from the east. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution around the 25–26 °C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日成都气温最高？
9月18日成都气温最高？
26°C 24%
27°C 21%
25°C 19%
24°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
8%
24°C
16%
25°C
19%
26°C
24%
27°C
21%
28°C
13%
29°C
5%
30°C或更高
<1%
26°C 24%
27°C 21%
25°C 19%
24°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
21°C
$0 交易量
3%
22°C
$20 交易量
8%
23°C
$0 交易量
8%
24°C
$5 交易量
16%
25°C
$0 交易量
19%
26°C
$0 交易量
24%
27°C
$0 交易量
21%
28°C
$0 交易量
13%
29°C
$0 交易量
5%
30°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, PredictWind, and Yr.no indicate a September 18 high near 24–26 °C in Chengdu, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters on 24–27 °C because recent cool, rainy conditions (highs of 23–24 °C) have depressed temperatures below the long-term September average of ~25 °C, while model guidance shows modest clearing potential that could allow brief warming. Key differentiating factors include the degree of afternoon insolation under lingering monsoon moisture, boundary-layer humidity that suppresses surface maxima, and steering flow that may advect slightly warmer air from the east. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution around the 25–26 °C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$25结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, PredictWind, and Yr.no indicate a September 18 high near 24–26 °C in Chengdu, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters on 24–27 °C because recent cool, rainy conditions (highs of 23–24 °C) have depressed temperatures below the long-term September average of ~25 °C, while model guidance shows modest clearing potential that could allow brief warming. Key differentiating factors include the degree of afternoon insolation under lingering monsoon moisture, boundary-layer humidity that suppresses surface maxima, and steering flow that may advect slightly warmer air from the east. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution around the 25–26 °C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, PredictWind, and Yr.no indicate a September 18 high near 24–26 °C in Chengdu, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters on 24–27 °C because recent cool, rainy conditions (highs of 23–24 °C) have depressed temperatures below the long-term September average of ~25 °C, while model guidance shows modest clearing potential that could allow brief warming. Key differentiating factors include the degree of afternoon insolation under lingering monsoon moisture, boundary-layer humidity that suppresses surface maxima, and steering flow that may advect slightly warmer air from the east. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution around the 25–26 °C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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