Recent cooling from a high-altitude trough and weak cold air advection has lowered maximum temperatures in Wuhan, with official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Bureau indicating a September 18 high of 20–25°C under persistent cloud cover and periods of light rain or drizzle. North winds of 2–3 on the Beaufort scale further limit daytime heating by enhancing mixing and reducing insolation. Multiple model runs converge on this range, though minor variations in rainfall timing or cloud thickness could shift the peak by 1°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched probabilities for 24–26°C aligns with this evidence-based outlook ahead of final observational data from local stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日武汉气温最高?
24°C 32%
25°C 31%
26°C 21%
23°C 15%
20°C或以下
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
15%
24°C
32%
25°C
31%
26°C
21%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C或更高
<1%
24°C 32%
25°C 31%
26°C 21%
23°C 15%
20°C或以下
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
15%
24°C
32%
25°C
31%
26°C
21%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent cooling from a high-altitude trough and weak cold air advection has lowered maximum temperatures in Wuhan, with official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Bureau indicating a September 18 high of 20–25°C under persistent cloud cover and periods of light rain or drizzle. North winds of 2–3 on the Beaufort scale further limit daytime heating by enhancing mixing and reducing insolation. Multiple model runs converge on this range, though minor variations in rainfall timing or cloud thickness could shift the peak by 1°C. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched probabilities for 24–26°C aligns with this evidence-based outlook ahead of final observational data from local stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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