The market's near-certain consensus on a 9°C minimum for Buenos Aires on September 18 stems from official observations by Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirming that exact low under persistent overcast skies and moderate northeasterly flow. These conditions limited overnight radiative cooling while preventing significant cold-air advection, aligning with model guidance and station data showing temperatures bottoming near that threshold rather than the seasonal average around 10–12°C. Trader positioning reflects this verified measurement, with minimal implied probability for deviations given the completed 24-hour period. Revisions to the official daily minimum or discrepancies across urban stations could theoretically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary reports stabilize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
9月18日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
9°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$502 交易量
$502 交易量
2026-09-18
8°C或以下
否
9°C
是
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或以上
否
9°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$502 交易量
$502 交易量
2026-09-18
8°C或以下
$31 交易量
否
9°C
$120 交易量
是
10°C
$0 交易量
否
11°C
$0 交易量
否
12°C
$0 交易量
否
13°C
$223 交易量
否
14°C
$65 交易量
否
15°C
$0 交易量
否
16°C
$0 交易量
否
17°C
$31 交易量
否
18°C或以上
$31 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain consensus on a 9°C minimum for Buenos Aires on September 18 stems from official observations by Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirming that exact low under persistent overcast skies and moderate northeasterly flow. These conditions limited overnight radiative cooling while preventing significant cold-air advection, aligning with model guidance and station data showing temperatures bottoming near that threshold rather than the seasonal average around 10–12°C. Trader positioning reflects this verified measurement, with minimal implied probability for deviations given the completed 24-hour period. Revisions to the official daily minimum or discrepancies across urban stations could theoretically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary reports stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$502结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain consensus on a 9°C minimum for Buenos Aires on September 18 stems from official observations by Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirming that exact low under persistent overcast skies and moderate northeasterly flow. These conditions limited overnight radiative cooling while preventing significant cold-air advection, aligning with model guidance and station data showing temperatures bottoming near that threshold rather than the seasonal average around 10–12°C. Trader positioning reflects this verified measurement, with minimal implied probability for deviations given the completed 24-hour period. Revisions to the official daily minimum or discrepancies across urban stations could theoretically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary reports stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$502结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The market's near-certain consensus on a 9°C minimum for Buenos Aires on September 18 stems from official observations by Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirming that exact low under persistent overcast skies and moderate northeasterly flow. These conditions limited overnight radiative cooling while preventing significant cold-air advection, aligning with model guidance and station data showing temperatures bottoming near that threshold rather than the seasonal average around 10–12°C. Trader positioning reflects this verified measurement, with minimal implied probability for deviations given the completed 24-hour period. Revisions to the official daily minimum or discrepancies across urban stations could theoretically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary reports stabilize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题