**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a minimum temperature in the mid-70s for Dallas on September 22, 2026, aligning with the market’s clustered probabilities around 74–79°F.** Official Dallas/Fort Worth forecasts issued September 20 show an early-morning low near 74–76°F under partly cloudy skies, with northeast winds of 5–10 mph limiting radiational cooling while dew points remain in the low-to-mid 70s. This setup follows a warm period with daytime highs near 94°F and only modest overnight drops, typical for late-September climatology before stronger autumn fronts arrive. Ensemble spreads in short-range models create the observed 19–20% probabilities for adjacent bins (74–75°F, 76–77°F, 78–79°F), reflecting small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the exact minimum by 2–3°F. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, keeping trader focus on the next model update and any revisions to the NWS forecast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日达拉斯最低温度？
9月22日达拉斯最低温度？
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 40%
74-75°F 39%
72-73°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
65°F或以下
5%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
11%
84°F或更高
7%
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 40%
74-75°F 39%
72-73°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
65°F或以下
$0 交易量
5%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
5%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
7%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
11%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
19%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
39%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
40%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
40%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
19%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
11%
84°F或更高
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a minimum temperature in the mid-70s for Dallas on September 22, 2026, aligning with the market’s clustered probabilities around 74–79°F.** Official Dallas/Fort Worth forecasts issued September 20 show an early-morning low near 74–76°F under partly cloudy skies, with northeast winds of 5–10 mph limiting radiational cooling while dew points remain in the low-to-mid 70s.
This setup follows a warm period with daytime highs near 94°F and only modest overnight drops, typical for late-September climatology before stronger autumn fronts arrive. Ensemble spreads in short-range models create the observed 19–20% probabilities for adjacent bins (74–75°F, 76–77°F, 78–79°F), reflecting small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the exact minimum by 2–3°F. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, keeping trader focus on the next model update and any revisions to the NWS forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a minimum temperature in the mid-70s for Dallas on September 22, 2026, aligning with the market’s clustered probabilities around 74–79°F.** Official Dallas/Fort Worth forecasts issued September 20 show an early-morning low near 74–76°F under partly cloudy skies, with northeast winds of 5–10 mph limiting radiational cooling while dew points remain in the low-to-mid 70s.
This setup follows a warm period with daytime highs near 94°F and only modest overnight drops, typical for late-September climatology before stronger autumn fronts arrive. Ensemble spreads in short-range models create the observed 19–20% probabilities for adjacent bins (74–75°F, 76–77°F, 78–79°F), reflecting small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the exact minimum by 2–3°F. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, keeping trader focus on the next model update and any revisions to the NWS forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ET**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a minimum temperature in the mid-70s for Dallas on September 22, 2026, aligning with the market’s clustered probabilities around 74–79°F.** Official Dallas/Fort Worth forecasts issued September 20 show an early-morning low near 74–76°F under partly cloudy skies, with northeast winds of 5–10 mph limiting radiational cooling while dew points remain in the low-to-mid 70s. This setup follows a warm period with daytime highs near 94°F and only modest overnight drops, typical for late-September climatology before stronger autumn fronts arrive. Ensemble spreads in short-range models create the observed 19–20% probabilities for adjacent bins (74–75°F, 76–77°F, 78–79°F), reflecting small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the exact minimum by 2–3°F. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, keeping trader focus on the next model update and any revisions to the NWS forecast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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