Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on September 21 most likely between 16–18°C, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a passing front and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This setup follows warmer conditions on September 19–20, with highs near 23–24°C, as a building high-pressure system steers the flow. Official guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies, light or no precipitation, and peak readings around midday to afternoon, consistent with historical September variability where the average high reaches 18.9°C. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 17°C and 18°C because ensemble runs show limited upside potential from increased cloudiness and modest wind speeds, though minor shifts in timing or clearing could nudge the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日慕尼黑的最高温度？
9月21日慕尼黑的最高温度？
17°C 45%
18°C 32%
16°C 18%
19°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
14°C或以下
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
18%
17°C
45%
18°C
32%
19°C
7%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
17°C 45%
18°C 32%
16°C 18%
19°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
15°C
$272 交易量
3%
16°C
$2,108 交易量
18%
17°C
$1,090 交易量
45%
18°C
$859 交易量
32%
19°C
$327 交易量
7%
20°C
$103 交易量
1%
21°C
$111 交易量
1%
22°C
$234 交易量
<1%
23°C
$646 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$885 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on September 21 most likely between 16–18°C, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a passing front and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This setup follows warmer conditions on September 19–20, with highs near 23–24°C, as a building high-pressure system steers the flow. Official guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies, light or no precipitation, and peak readings around midday to afternoon, consistent with historical September variability where the average high reaches 18.9°C. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 17°C and 18°C because ensemble runs show limited upside potential from increased cloudiness and modest wind speeds, though minor shifts in timing or clearing could nudge the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$6,635结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on September 21 most likely between 16–18°C, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a passing front and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This setup follows warmer conditions on September 19–20, with highs near 23–24°C, as a building high-pressure system steers the flow. Official guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies, light or no precipitation, and peak readings around midday to afternoon, consistent with historical September variability where the average high reaches 18.9°C. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 17°C and 18°C because ensemble runs show limited upside potential from increased cloudiness and modest wind speeds, though minor shifts in timing or clearing could nudge the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,635结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on September 21 most likely between 16–18°C, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a passing front and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This setup follows warmer conditions on September 19–20, with highs near 23–24°C, as a building high-pressure system steers the flow. Official guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies, light or no precipitation, and peak readings around midday to afternoon, consistent with historical September variability where the average high reaches 18.9°C. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 17°C and 18°C because ensemble runs show limited upside potential from increased cloudiness and modest wind speeds, though minor shifts in timing or clearing could nudge the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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