Trader consensus centers on 33°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature today, driven by real-time observations and short-range model guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory showing stable subtropical high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and light winds that favor afternoon maxima near this level. Late-September climatology typically peaks around 31°C, yet current conditions support a modest positive anomaly without significant tropical moisture or frontal passages to moderate it. Regional ensemble agreement keeps forecast spread narrow for this final 12-hour window. Only an abrupt maritime surge or unexpected convective outbreak could realistically pull readings lower, though steering patterns and recent surface data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日香港气温最高？
9月21日香港气温最高？
33°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$99,606 交易量
$99,606 交易量
2026-09-21
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34℃
<1%
35°C或更高
<1%
33°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$99,606 交易量
$99,606 交易量
2026-09-21
25°C或以下
$135 交易量
<1%
26°C
$125 交易量
<1%
27°C
$490 交易量
<1%
28°C
$3,081 交易量
<1%
29°C
$12,432 交易量
<1%
30°C
$18,901 交易量
<1%
31°C
$7,870 交易量
<1%
32°C
$25,019 交易量
<1%
33°C
$15,725 交易量
100%
34℃
$14,309 交易量
<1%
35°C或更高
$1,518 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus centers on 33°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature today, driven by real-time observations and short-range model guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory showing stable subtropical high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and light winds that favor afternoon maxima near this level. Late-September climatology typically peaks around 31°C, yet current conditions support a modest positive anomaly without significant tropical moisture or frontal passages to moderate it. Regional ensemble agreement keeps forecast spread narrow for this final 12-hour window. Only an abrupt maritime surge or unexpected convective outbreak could realistically pull readings lower, though steering patterns and recent surface data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$99,606结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus centers on 33°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature today, driven by real-time observations and short-range model guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory showing stable subtropical high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and light winds that favor afternoon maxima near this level. Late-September climatology typically peaks around 31°C, yet current conditions support a modest positive anomaly without significant tropical moisture or frontal passages to moderate it. Regional ensemble agreement keeps forecast spread narrow for this final 12-hour window. Only an abrupt maritime surge or unexpected convective outbreak could realistically pull readings lower, though steering patterns and recent surface data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$99,606结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETTrader consensus centers on 33°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature today, driven by real-time observations and short-range model guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory showing stable subtropical high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and light winds that favor afternoon maxima near this level. Late-September climatology typically peaks around 31°C, yet current conditions support a modest positive anomaly without significant tropical moisture or frontal passages to moderate it. Regional ensemble agreement keeps forecast spread narrow for this final 12-hour window. Only an abrupt maritime surge or unexpected convective outbreak could realistically pull readings lower, though steering patterns and recent surface data make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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