Recent heavy rainfall and a passing frontal system have left Istanbul under variable conditions, with forecasts for September 26 showing daytime highs clustered between 22–25 °C amid scattered showers or partial cloud cover. Northeast winds and lingering moisture create uncertainty in maximum temperature, as increased cloudiness or precipitation timing can suppress radiative heating by several degrees while clearer intervals allow stronger insolation. Multiple numerical models converge on this narrow range but diverge on exact convective development, producing the broad, evenly matched market-implied probabilities across 19–26 °C. Updated model runs and official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service over the next 48 hours will likely refine the expected peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月26日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
9月26日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
21°C 37%
25°C 36%
20°C 30%
22°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-26
18°C或以下
4%
19°C
7%
20°C
30%
21°C
37%
22°C
28%
23°C
25%
24°C
7%
25°C
36%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C或更高
2%
21°C 37%
25°C 36%
20°C 30%
22°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-26
18°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
19°C
$0 交易量
7%
20°C
$0 交易量
30%
21°C
$0 交易量
37%
22°C
$26 交易量
28%
23°C
$0 交易量
25%
24°C
$0 交易量
7%
25°C
$0 交易量
36%
26°C
$0 交易量
5%
27°C
$0 交易量
4%
28°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and a passing frontal system have left Istanbul under variable conditions, with forecasts for September 26 showing daytime highs clustered between 22–25 °C amid scattered showers or partial cloud cover. Northeast winds and lingering moisture create uncertainty in maximum temperature, as increased cloudiness or precipitation timing can suppress radiative heating by several degrees while clearer intervals allow stronger insolation. Multiple numerical models converge on this narrow range but diverge on exact convective development, producing the broad, evenly matched market-implied probabilities across 19–26 °C. Updated model runs and official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service over the next 48 hours will likely refine the expected peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$26结束日期
2026-09-26市场开放时间
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and a passing frontal system have left Istanbul under variable conditions, with forecasts for September 26 showing daytime highs clustered between 22–25 °C amid scattered showers or partial cloud cover. Northeast winds and lingering moisture create uncertainty in maximum temperature, as increased cloudiness or precipitation timing can suppress radiative heating by several degrees while clearer intervals allow stronger insolation. Multiple numerical models converge on this narrow range but diverge on exact convective development, producing the broad, evenly matched market-implied probabilities across 19–26 °C. Updated model runs and official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service over the next 48 hours will likely refine the expected peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26结束日期
2026-09-26市场开放时间
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent heavy rainfall and a passing frontal system have left Istanbul under variable conditions, with forecasts for September 26 showing daytime highs clustered between 22–25 °C amid scattered showers or partial cloud cover. Northeast winds and lingering moisture create uncertainty in maximum temperature, as increased cloudiness or precipitation timing can suppress radiative heating by several degrees while clearer intervals allow stronger insolation. Multiple numerical models converge on this narrow range but diverge on exact convective development, producing the broad, evenly matched market-implied probabilities across 19–26 °C. Updated model runs and official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service over the next 48 hours will likely refine the expected peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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