Recent forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on September 26 will likely fall in the 17–19°C range, aligning with the seasonal September average low near 17°C, yet market odds remain nearly even between 13°C or below and 23°C or higher due to model spread on cloud cover and wind. A developing low-pressure system and scattered showers could enhance nocturnal radiative cooling if skies clear overnight, potentially driving the minimum lower, while persistent northeasterly flow and higher humidity may limit cooling and support milder readings. Historical variability in late-September transitions, combined with current pressure gradients around 1015–1020 hPa, sustains uncertainty ahead of updated model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月26日伊斯坦布尔的最低温度？
9月26日伊斯坦布尔的最低温度？
23°C或更高 98%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-26
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C或更高
98%
23°C或更高 98%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-26
13°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
14°C
$0 交易量
40%
15°C
$0 交易量
40%
16°C
$0 交易量
40%
17°C
$0 交易量
40%
18°C
$0 交易量
40%
19°C
$0 交易量
40%
20°C
$0 交易量
40%
21°C
$0 交易量
40%
22°C
$0 交易量
40%
23°C或更高
$0 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on September 26 will likely fall in the 17–19°C range, aligning with the seasonal September average low near 17°C, yet market odds remain nearly even between 13°C or below and 23°C or higher due to model spread on cloud cover and wind. A developing low-pressure system and scattered showers could enhance nocturnal radiative cooling if skies clear overnight, potentially driving the minimum lower, while persistent northeasterly flow and higher humidity may limit cooling and support milder readings. Historical variability in late-September transitions, combined with current pressure gradients around 1015–1020 hPa, sustains uncertainty ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-26市场开放时间
Sep 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on September 26 will likely fall in the 17–19°C range, aligning with the seasonal September average low near 17°C, yet market odds remain nearly even between 13°C or below and 23°C or higher due to model spread on cloud cover and wind. A developing low-pressure system and scattered showers could enhance nocturnal radiative cooling if skies clear overnight, potentially driving the minimum lower, while persistent northeasterly flow and higher humidity may limit cooling and support milder readings. Historical variability in late-September transitions, combined with current pressure gradients around 1015–1020 hPa, sustains uncertainty ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-26市场开放时间
Sep 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on September 26 will likely fall in the 17–19°C range, aligning with the seasonal September average low near 17°C, yet market odds remain nearly even between 13°C or below and 23°C or higher due to model spread on cloud cover and wind. A developing low-pressure system and scattered showers could enhance nocturnal radiative cooling if skies clear overnight, potentially driving the minimum lower, while persistent northeasterly flow and higher humidity may limit cooling and support milder readings. Historical variability in late-September transitions, combined with current pressure gradients around 1015–1020 hPa, sustains uncertainty ahead of updated model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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