**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including NWS-aligned models, converge on a high temperature of 80–81°F for Atlanta on September 26, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 46.5% implied probability for that bin.** Late-September climatology supports this range, with a 1991–2020 average high of 80.4°F at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport. Recent days have featured gradual cooling from mid-September peaks near 90–97°F, driven by a shift to lighter northeast-to-northwest winds, partly to mostly sunny skies, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation (chances under 5% in most outlooks). These conditions favor typical diurnal heating without significant advection of warmer or cooler air masses. Model consensus remains tight two days out, though minor upward revisions into the low-to-mid 80s remain possible if daytime mixing strengthens or if steering patterns shift slightly. Lower-probability outcomes above 85°F or below 78°F reflect residual uncertainty in boundary-layer details and the historical spread on this date (records range from the upper 50s to mid-90s). Traders appear to be weighting the stable, near-normal forecast heavily while discounting more extreme tails.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月26日亚特兰大最高温度?
80-81华氏度 47%
82-83°F 24%
86-87°F 20%
84-85°F 18%
71华氏度或以下
5%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
14%
80-81华氏度
47%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
16%
90华氏度或更高
2%
80-81华氏度 47%
82-83°F 24%
86-87°F 20%
84-85°F 18%
71华氏度或以下
5%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
14%
80-81华氏度
47%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
16%
90华氏度或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 24, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including NWS-aligned models, converge on a high temperature of 80–81°F for Atlanta on September 26, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 46.5% implied probability for that bin.** Late-September climatology supports this range, with a 1991–2020 average high of 80.4°F at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport. Recent days have featured gradual cooling from mid-September peaks near 90–97°F, driven by a shift to lighter northeast-to-northwest winds, partly to mostly sunny skies, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation (chances under 5% in most outlooks). These conditions favor typical diurnal heating without significant advection of warmer or cooler air masses. Model consensus remains tight two days out, though minor upward revisions into the low-to-mid 80s remain possible if daytime mixing strengthens or if steering patterns shift slightly. Lower-probability outcomes above 85°F or below 78°F reflect residual uncertainty in boundary-layer details and the historical spread on this date (records range from the upper 50s to mid-90s). Traders appear to be weighting the stable, near-normal forecast heavily while discounting more extreme tails.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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