Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on September 26 points to partly sunny skies and highs in the low to mid-90s under southerly flow, with afternoon temperatures sensitive to variable cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in simulated convective inhibition and low-level wind speeds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 92–95 °F. Historical September 26 averages near 86 °F underscore the current warm anomaly, while the absence of strong frontal passages keeps the upper tail (above 98 °F) low-probability. Updated short-range runs and any late-day satellite trends on the 25th will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月26日达拉斯的最高温度?
86-87°F 36%
88-89°F 29%
90-91°F 27%
98-99°F 22%
85华氏度或以下
7%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
27%
92-93°F
21%
94-95华氏度
9%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
22%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
7%
104°F或更高
5%
86-87°F 36%
88-89°F 29%
90-91°F 27%
98-99°F 22%
85华氏度或以下
7%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
27%
92-93°F
21%
94-95华氏度
9%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
22%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
7%
104°F或更高
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 24, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on September 26 points to partly sunny skies and highs in the low to mid-90s under southerly flow, with afternoon temperatures sensitive to variable cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in simulated convective inhibition and low-level wind speeds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 92–95 °F. Historical September 26 averages near 86 °F underscore the current warm anomaly, while the absence of strong frontal passages keeps the upper tail (above 98 °F) low-probability. Updated short-range runs and any late-day satellite trends on the 25th will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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