Recent numerical weather prediction model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a narrow cluster of possible daily maxima between 26–29°C for Chengdu on September 25, driven by lingering moisture from recent light rain, mostly cloudy skies, and weak steering winds that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise from subtle differences in cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing under transitional autumn patterns, keeping 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C outcomes nearly tied in trader-implied odds. Light easterly or northerly flow and high humidity further constrain extremes, while official station observations will resolve the market. Updated short-range forecasts expected within 24 hours could shift consensus if clearer skies develop.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月25日成都气温最高？
9月25日成都气温最高？
25°C 39%
27°C 25%
28°C 25%
29°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
18%
25°C
39%
26°C
23%
27°C
25%
28°C
25%
29°C
25%
30°C
22%
31°C
17%
32°C
4%
33℃或更高
<1%
25°C 39%
27°C 25%
28°C 25%
29°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
23°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
24°C
$0 交易量
18%
25°C
$0 交易量
39%
26°C
$0 交易量
23%
27°C
$0 交易量
25%
28°C
$0 交易量
25%
29°C
$0 交易量
25%
30°C
$0 交易量
22%
31°C
$0 交易量
17%
32°C
$0 交易量
4%
33℃或更高
$256 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a narrow cluster of possible daily maxima between 26–29°C for Chengdu on September 25, driven by lingering moisture from recent light rain, mostly cloudy skies, and weak steering winds that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise from subtle differences in cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing under transitional autumn patterns, keeping 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C outcomes nearly tied in trader-implied odds. Light easterly or northerly flow and high humidity further constrain extremes, while official station observations will resolve the market. Updated short-range forecasts expected within 24 hours could shift consensus if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$256结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a narrow cluster of possible daily maxima between 26–29°C for Chengdu on September 25, driven by lingering moisture from recent light rain, mostly cloudy skies, and weak steering winds that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise from subtle differences in cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing under transitional autumn patterns, keeping 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C outcomes nearly tied in trader-implied odds. Light easterly or northerly flow and high humidity further constrain extremes, while official station observations will resolve the market. Updated short-range forecasts expected within 24 hours could shift consensus if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$256结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a narrow cluster of possible daily maxima between 26–29°C for Chengdu on September 25, driven by lingering moisture from recent light rain, mostly cloudy skies, and weak steering winds that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise from subtle differences in cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing under transitional autumn patterns, keeping 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C outcomes nearly tied in trader-implied odds. Light easterly or northerly flow and high humidity further constrain extremes, while official station observations will resolve the market. Updated short-range forecasts expected within 24 hours could shift consensus if clearer skies develop.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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