Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 25 project a daytime high near 94°F under mostly sunny skies with light northeast winds and minimal rain chances, aligning trader consensus around the 92-93°F bin as the modal outcome. Persistent high pressure and above-normal sea surface temperatures in the Gulf have sustained recent warmth into late September, elevating probabilities for 90-93°F ranges while capping upside risk absent stronger southerly flow or clear skies. Model consensus shows limited spread, though minor adjustments in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact maximum by a degree or two before resolution. Historical September highs average near 88°F, underscoring the current anomalous warmth driving these implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月25日休斯顿的最高温度?
92-93华氏度 35%
90-91°F 23%
98-99°F 16%
88-89华氏度 15%
83华氏度或以下
5%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
8%
88-89华氏度
15%
90-91°F
23%
92-93华氏度
35%
94-95°F
14%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
8%
102华氏度或更高
6%
92-93华氏度 35%
90-91°F 23%
98-99°F 16%
88-89华氏度 15%
83华氏度或以下
5%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
8%
88-89华氏度
15%
90-91°F
23%
92-93华氏度
35%
94-95°F
14%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
8%
102华氏度或更高
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 23, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 25 project a daytime high near 94°F under mostly sunny skies with light northeast winds and minimal rain chances, aligning trader consensus around the 92-93°F bin as the modal outcome. Persistent high pressure and above-normal sea surface temperatures in the Gulf have sustained recent warmth into late September, elevating probabilities for 90-93°F ranges while capping upside risk absent stronger southerly flow or clear skies. Model consensus shows limited spread, though minor adjustments in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact maximum by a degree or two before resolution. Historical September highs average near 88°F, underscoring the current anomalous warmth driving these implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题