Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C for Karachi on September 15, driven by a lingering low-pressure system from central India that is enhancing cloud cover, humidity near 80-90%, and isolated thunderstorm chances. These conditions limit nocturnal radiational cooling by trapping longwave radiation and reducing the diurnal temperature range, while moderate southwest winds promote mixing that prevents sharp drops. Historical September baselines show typical overnight lows of 26-28°C, yet model spreads and potential shifts in steering patterns create uncertainty between cooler scenarios under clearer skies and warmer ones with persistent moisture. This balance underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across temperature thresholds, with new official updates expected to refine resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日卡拉奇的最低温度？
9月15日卡拉奇的最低温度？
23°C或以下 81%
33°C或更高 81%
24°C 40%
28°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
23°C或以下
81%
24°C
40%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
25%
29°C
21%
30°C
8%
31°C
17%
32°C
17%
33°C或更高
81%
23°C或以下 81%
33°C或更高 81%
24°C 40%
28°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
23°C或以下
$10 交易量
81%
24°C
$118 交易量
40%
25°C
$0 交易量
22%
26°C
$0 交易量
22%
27°C
$0 交易量
22%
28°C
$5 交易量
25%
29°C
$24 交易量
21%
30°C
$10 交易量
8%
31°C
$10 交易量
17%
32°C
$10 交易量
17%
33°C或更高
$10 交易量
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C for Karachi on September 15, driven by a lingering low-pressure system from central India that is enhancing cloud cover, humidity near 80-90%, and isolated thunderstorm chances. These conditions limit nocturnal radiational cooling by trapping longwave radiation and reducing the diurnal temperature range, while moderate southwest winds promote mixing that prevents sharp drops. Historical September baselines show typical overnight lows of 26-28°C, yet model spreads and potential shifts in steering patterns create uncertainty between cooler scenarios under clearer skies and warmer ones with persistent moisture. This balance underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across temperature thresholds, with new official updates expected to refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
交易量
$197结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C for Karachi on September 15, driven by a lingering low-pressure system from central India that is enhancing cloud cover, humidity near 80-90%, and isolated thunderstorm chances. These conditions limit nocturnal radiational cooling by trapping longwave radiation and reducing the diurnal temperature range, while moderate southwest winds promote mixing that prevents sharp drops. Historical September baselines show typical overnight lows of 26-28°C, yet model spreads and potential shifts in steering patterns create uncertainty between cooler scenarios under clearer skies and warmer ones with persistent moisture. This balance underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across temperature thresholds, with new official updates expected to refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$197结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETRecent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C for Karachi on September 15, driven by a lingering low-pressure system from central India that is enhancing cloud cover, humidity near 80-90%, and isolated thunderstorm chances. These conditions limit nocturnal radiational cooling by trapping longwave radiation and reducing the diurnal temperature range, while moderate southwest winds promote mixing that prevents sharp drops. Historical September baselines show typical overnight lows of 26-28°C, yet model spreads and potential shifts in steering patterns create uncertainty between cooler scenarios under clearer skies and warmer ones with persistent moisture. This balance underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across temperature thresholds, with new official updates expected to refine resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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