Recent observational data and forecast consensus from agencies including the South African Weather Service and Met Office models show Cape Town’s minimum temperature on September 15 holding at or above 13°C amid mild conditions with light rain and winds from the northwest to southeast. This aligns with trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 13°C, reflecting real-time station readings and model runs that have not indicated any drop to 12°C. Historical September minima in the region typically range 10–12°C, but current atmospheric patterns lack the cold advection needed for a lower reading. A late-night measurement revision or localized station anomaly could still shift the outcome before final data release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于开普敦9月15日的最低温度？
开普敦9月15日的最低温度？
13°C 99.5%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$894 交易量
$894 交易量
2026-09-15
9°C或以下
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
是
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C或更高
否
13°C 99.5%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$894 交易量
$894 交易量
2026-09-15
9°C或以下
$16 交易量
否
10°C
$96 交易量
否
11°C
$96 交易量
否
12°C
$41 交易量
否
13°C
$12 交易量
是
14°C
$99 交易量
否
15°C
$387 交易量
否
16°C
$22 交易量
否
17°C
$60 交易量
否
18°C
$32 交易量
否
19°C或更高
$32 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast consensus from agencies including the South African Weather Service and Met Office models show Cape Town’s minimum temperature on September 15 holding at or above 13°C amid mild conditions with light rain and winds from the northwest to southeast. This aligns with trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 13°C, reflecting real-time station readings and model runs that have not indicated any drop to 12°C. Historical September minima in the region typically range 10–12°C, but current atmospheric patterns lack the cold advection needed for a lower reading. A late-night measurement revision or localized station anomaly could still shift the outcome before final data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
交易量
$894结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast consensus from agencies including the South African Weather Service and Met Office models show Cape Town’s minimum temperature on September 15 holding at or above 13°C amid mild conditions with light rain and winds from the northwest to southeast. This aligns with trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 13°C, reflecting real-time station readings and model runs that have not indicated any drop to 12°C. Historical September minima in the region typically range 10–12°C, but current atmospheric patterns lack the cold advection needed for a lower reading. A late-night measurement revision or localized station anomaly could still shift the outcome before final data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$894结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent observational data and forecast consensus from agencies including the South African Weather Service and Met Office models show Cape Town’s minimum temperature on September 15 holding at or above 13°C amid mild conditions with light rain and winds from the northwest to southeast. This aligns with trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 13°C, reflecting real-time station readings and model runs that have not indicated any drop to 12°C. Historical September minima in the region typically range 10–12°C, but current atmospheric patterns lack the cold advection needed for a lower reading. A late-night measurement revision or localized station anomaly could still shift the outcome before final data release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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