**Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C for Cape Town on September 17, 2026, under clear skies and persistent southeasterly winds.** High pressure supports radiative cooling overnight, with lows typically occurring just before dawn in the 11–13°C range based on recent runs and local climatology for mid-September. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 10–12°C alongside a notable share for 17°C+, reflecting uncertainty in exact wind speeds and any late model shifts that could alter nocturnal cooling rates. Official South African Weather Service observations or equivalent station data will determine resolution, with historical spring minima often near 10–11°C under similar anticyclonic setups. Updated model guidance tonight offers the next key input for positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日开普敦最低气温？
9月17日开普敦最低气温？
17°C或更高 62%
11°C 28%
13°C 26%
12°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
7°C或以下
1%
8°C
10%
9°C
14%
10°C
24%
11°C
28%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
22%
15°C
3%
16°C
13%
17°C或更高
62%
17°C或更高 62%
11°C 28%
13°C 26%
12°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
7°C或以下
$80 交易量
1%
8°C
$53 交易量
10%
9°C
$0 交易量
14%
10°C
$0 交易量
24%
11°C
$0 交易量
28%
12°C
$0 交易量
26%
13°C
$0 交易量
26%
14°C
$0 交易量
22%
15°C
$0 交易量
3%
16°C
$0 交易量
13%
17°C或更高
$0 交易量
62%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C for Cape Town on September 17, 2026, under clear skies and persistent southeasterly winds.** High pressure supports radiative cooling overnight, with lows typically occurring just before dawn in the 11–13°C range based on recent runs and local climatology for mid-September.
Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 10–12°C alongside a notable share for 17°C+, reflecting uncertainty in exact wind speeds and any late model shifts that could alter nocturnal cooling rates. Official South African Weather Service observations or equivalent station data will determine resolution, with historical spring minima often near 10–11°C under similar anticyclonic setups. Updated model guidance tonight offers the next key input for positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$133结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C for Cape Town on September 17, 2026, under clear skies and persistent southeasterly winds.** High pressure supports radiative cooling overnight, with lows typically occurring just before dawn in the 11–13°C range based on recent runs and local climatology for mid-September.
Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 10–12°C alongside a notable share for 17°C+, reflecting uncertainty in exact wind speeds and any late model shifts that could alter nocturnal cooling rates. Official South African Weather Service observations or equivalent station data will determine resolution, with historical spring minima often near 10–11°C under similar anticyclonic setups. Updated model guidance tonight offers the next key input for positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$133结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C for Cape Town on September 17, 2026, under clear skies and persistent southeasterly winds.** High pressure supports radiative cooling overnight, with lows typically occurring just before dawn in the 11–13°C range based on recent runs and local climatology for mid-September. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 10–12°C alongside a notable share for 17°C+, reflecting uncertainty in exact wind speeds and any late model shifts that could alter nocturnal cooling rates. Official South African Weather Service observations or equivalent station data will determine resolution, with historical spring minima often near 10–11°C under similar anticyclonic setups. Updated model guidance tonight offers the next key input for positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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