Forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies, including the South African Weather Service and international sources, points to a mild, sunny spring day in Cape Town on September 18 with a high near 20–21°C under southeasterly winds and high pressure. This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 21°C and 22°C outcomes, reflecting typical September climatology where daily maxima average around 18–20°C. Recent stabilization after mid-week cold, windy conditions has reduced variability, though minor forecast adjustments in afternoon peak readings could still influence resolution within the narrow 19–23°C band. Updated model runs and local observations remain the key near-term drivers for any shifts in implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日开普敦气温最高？
9月18日开普敦气温最高？
21°C 54%
22°C 38%
23°C 5%
20°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
54%
22°C
38%
23°C
5%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
21°C 54%
22°C 38%
23°C 5%
20°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
16°C或以下
$411 交易量
<1%
17°C
$169 交易量
1%
18°C
$228 交易量
1%
19°C
$268 交易量
1%
20°C
$311 交易量
4%
21°C
$1,812 交易量
54%
22°C
$575 交易量
38%
23°C
$460 交易量
5%
24°C
$183 交易量
<1%
25°C
$183 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$348 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies, including the South African Weather Service and international sources, points to a mild, sunny spring day in Cape Town on September 18 with a high near 20–21°C under southeasterly winds and high pressure. This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 21°C and 22°C outcomes, reflecting typical September climatology where daily maxima average around 18–20°C. Recent stabilization after mid-week cold, windy conditions has reduced variability, though minor forecast adjustments in afternoon peak readings could still influence resolution within the narrow 19–23°C band. Updated model runs and local observations remain the key near-term drivers for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$4,948结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies, including the South African Weather Service and international sources, points to a mild, sunny spring day in Cape Town on September 18 with a high near 20–21°C under southeasterly winds and high pressure. This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 21°C and 22°C outcomes, reflecting typical September climatology where daily maxima average around 18–20°C. Recent stabilization after mid-week cold, windy conditions has reduced variability, though minor forecast adjustments in afternoon peak readings could still influence resolution within the narrow 19–23°C band. Updated model runs and local observations remain the key near-term drivers for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,948结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETForecast consensus from multiple models and agencies, including the South African Weather Service and international sources, points to a mild, sunny spring day in Cape Town on September 18 with a high near 20–21°C under southeasterly winds and high pressure. This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 21°C and 22°C outcomes, reflecting typical September climatology where daily maxima average around 18–20°C. Recent stabilization after mid-week cold, windy conditions has reduced variability, though minor forecast adjustments in afternoon peak readings could still influence resolution within the narrow 19–23°C band. Updated model runs and local observations remain the key near-term drivers for any shifts in implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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