Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow’s September 19 high will likely peak near 17–19 °C under southwest flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light rain or showers that limit insolation. These conditions follow a frontal passage on the 18th that lowered daytime maxima while keeping the airmass mild for mid-September. Historical climatology places average highs around 16–18 °C, providing context for the narrow distribution traders favor. With only two days until resolution, updates to short-range guidance on cloud thickness and precipitation timing represent the main variables that could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C and thereby influence the current market-implied probabilities centered on 19 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日莫斯科最高气温？
9月19日莫斯科最高气温？
19°C 51%
18°C 27%
20°C 27%
16°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
15%
17°C
13%
18°C
27%
19°C
53%
20°C
16%
21°C
10%
22°C
10%
23°C或更高
10%
19°C 51%
18°C 27%
20°C 27%
16°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
13°C或以下
$111 交易量
<1%
14°C
$111 交易量
<1%
15°C
$63 交易量
2%
16°C
$0 交易量
15%
17°C
$8 交易量
13%
18°C
$8 交易量
27%
19°C
$185 交易量
53%
20°C
$132 交易量
16%
21°C
$8 交易量
10%
22°C
$0 交易量
10%
23°C或更高
$0 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow’s September 19 high will likely peak near 17–19 °C under southwest flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light rain or showers that limit insolation. These conditions follow a frontal passage on the 18th that lowered daytime maxima while keeping the airmass mild for mid-September. Historical climatology places average highs around 16–18 °C, providing context for the narrow distribution traders favor. With only two days until resolution, updates to short-range guidance on cloud thickness and precipitation timing represent the main variables that could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C and thereby influence the current market-implied probabilities centered on 19 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$624结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow’s September 19 high will likely peak near 17–19 °C under southwest flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light rain or showers that limit insolation. These conditions follow a frontal passage on the 18th that lowered daytime maxima while keeping the airmass mild for mid-September. Historical climatology places average highs around 16–18 °C, providing context for the narrow distribution traders favor. With only two days until resolution, updates to short-range guidance on cloud thickness and precipitation timing represent the main variables that could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C and thereby influence the current market-implied probabilities centered on 19 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$624结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow’s September 19 high will likely peak near 17–19 °C under southwest flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light rain or showers that limit insolation. These conditions follow a frontal passage on the 18th that lowered daytime maxima while keeping the airmass mild for mid-September. Historical climatology places average highs around 16–18 °C, providing context for the narrow distribution traders favor. With only two days until resolution, updates to short-range guidance on cloud thickness and precipitation timing represent the main variables that could shift the exact maximum by 1–2 °C and thereby influence the current market-implied probabilities centered on 19 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题