Current forecast models from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles indicate Moscow's September 18 daytime maximum will likely reach 17–19°C under variable cloud cover, westerly winds of 3–4 m/s, and a 40–70% chance of light showers that limit solar heating. This aligns with climatological norms near 16°C for mid-September while reflecting cooler-than-recent days amid transitioning autumn patterns. Model runs show modest spread due to timing of any precipitation and boundary-layer moisture, supporting the market's concentration of implied probability on 17–19°C outcomes. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine these projections before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日莫斯科最高气温？
9月18日莫斯科最高气温？
18°C 50%
17°C 24%
19°C 22%
16°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
24%
18°C
50%
19°C
22%
20°C或更高
5%
18°C 50%
17°C 24%
19°C 22%
16°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
10°C或以下
$349 交易量
<1%
11°C
$31 交易量
<1%
12°C
$31 交易量
<1%
13°C
$31 交易量
<1%
14°C
$117 交易量
3%
15°C
$11 交易量
2%
16°C
$99 交易量
6%
17°C
$236 交易量
24%
18°C
$1,600 交易量
50%
19°C
$299 交易量
22%
20°C或更高
$523 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles indicate Moscow's September 18 daytime maximum will likely reach 17–19°C under variable cloud cover, westerly winds of 3–4 m/s, and a 40–70% chance of light showers that limit solar heating. This aligns with climatological norms near 16°C for mid-September while reflecting cooler-than-recent days amid transitioning autumn patterns. Model runs show modest spread due to timing of any precipitation and boundary-layer moisture, supporting the market's concentration of implied probability on 17–19°C outcomes. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine these projections before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$3,327结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles indicate Moscow's September 18 daytime maximum will likely reach 17–19°C under variable cloud cover, westerly winds of 3–4 m/s, and a 40–70% chance of light showers that limit solar heating. This aligns with climatological norms near 16°C for mid-September while reflecting cooler-than-recent days amid transitioning autumn patterns. Model runs show modest spread due to timing of any precipitation and boundary-layer moisture, supporting the market's concentration of implied probability on 17–19°C outcomes. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine these projections before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,327结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources including the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles indicate Moscow's September 18 daytime maximum will likely reach 17–19°C under variable cloud cover, westerly winds of 3–4 m/s, and a 40–70% chance of light showers that limit solar heating. This aligns with climatological norms near 16°C for mid-September while reflecting cooler-than-recent days amid transitioning autumn patterns. Model runs show modest spread due to timing of any precipitation and boundary-layer moisture, supporting the market's concentration of implied probability on 17–19°C outcomes. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine these projections before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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