**Clear skies and southerly flow under high pressure are positioning Qingdao for a peak near 30–31°C on September 15, 2026.** Recent model consensus shows daytime highs climbing from mid-20s the prior week into the upper 20s to low 30s, driven by strong insolation, light southerly winds advecting warmer air from inland Shandong, and minimal cloud cover or marine cooling. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea keeps extremes rare, but small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speed, or the timing of peak heating can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. With 30°C and 31°C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing and 32°C+ holding only modest probability, markets reflect genuine uncertainty in the final model runs and observational adjustments before the 12:00 UTC cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日青岛气温最高？
9月15日青岛气温最高？
31°C 43%
30°C 39%
32°C或更高 14%
29°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
22°C或以下
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
39%
31°C
43%
32°C或更高
14%
31°C 43%
30°C 39%
32°C或更高 14%
29°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
22°C或以下
$10 交易量
2%
23°C
$10 交易量
2%
24°C
$10 交易量
2%
25°C
$10 交易量
2%
26°C
$10 交易量
2%
27°C
$203 交易量
1%
28°C
$93 交易量
2%
29°C
$197 交易量
5%
30°C
$959 交易量
39%
31°C
$388 交易量
43%
32°C或更高
$1,412 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and southerly flow under high pressure are positioning Qingdao for a peak near 30–31°C on September 15, 2026.** Recent model consensus shows daytime highs climbing from mid-20s the prior week into the upper 20s to low 30s, driven by strong insolation, light southerly winds advecting warmer air from inland Shandong, and minimal cloud cover or marine cooling. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea keeps extremes rare, but small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speed, or the timing of peak heating can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. With 30°C and 31°C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing and 32°C+ holding only modest probability, markets reflect genuine uncertainty in the final model runs and observational adjustments before the 12:00 UTC cutoff.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
交易量
$3,303结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and southerly flow under high pressure are positioning Qingdao for a peak near 30–31°C on September 15, 2026.** Recent model consensus shows daytime highs climbing from mid-20s the prior week into the upper 20s to low 30s, driven by strong insolation, light southerly winds advecting warmer air from inland Shandong, and minimal cloud cover or marine cooling. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea keeps extremes rare, but small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speed, or the timing of peak heating can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. With 30°C and 31°C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing and 32°C+ holding only modest probability, markets reflect genuine uncertainty in the final model runs and observational adjustments before the 12:00 UTC cutoff.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,303结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET**Clear skies and southerly flow under high pressure are positioning Qingdao for a peak near 30–31°C on September 15, 2026.** Recent model consensus shows daytime highs climbing from mid-20s the prior week into the upper 20s to low 30s, driven by strong insolation, light southerly winds advecting warmer air from inland Shandong, and minimal cloud cover or marine cooling. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea keeps extremes rare, but small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speed, or the timing of peak heating can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. With 30°C and 31°C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing and 32°C+ holding only modest probability, markets reflect genuine uncertainty in the final model runs and observational adjustments before the 12:00 UTC cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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