**Model consensus across ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs positions a 15–16°C high as the most probable outcome for Helsinki on September 16, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those bins.** Southerly flow ahead of an approaching low-pressure system is expected to maintain mild conditions near or slightly above the mid-September climatological average, while increasing cloud cover and scattered rain (40–65% probability in most guidance) limits daytime warming. Recent model updates show little spread in peak values, with maxima clustered around 15–16°C depending on the exact timing of precipitation and any brief clearing. Traders appear to be pricing in this narrow range of outcomes, with limited probability assigned to warmer scenarios that would require stronger ridging or drier conditions not currently supported by the data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日赫尔辛基的最高温度？
9月16日赫尔辛基的最高温度？
16°C 53%
15°C 29%
17°C 16%
14°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
11°C或以下
2%
12℃
3%
13°C
3%
14°C
5%
15°C
29%
16°C
53%
17°C
16%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C或更高
1%
16°C 53%
15°C 29%
17°C 16%
14°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
11°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
12℃
$0 交易量
3%
13°C
$0 交易量
3%
14°C
$69 交易量
5%
15°C
$113 交易量
29%
16°C
$218 交易量
53%
17°C
$108 交易量
16%
18°C
$122 交易量
4%
19°C
$0 交易量
2%
20°C
$69 交易量
1%
21°C或更高
$127 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model consensus across ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs positions a 15–16°C high as the most probable outcome for Helsinki on September 16, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those bins.** Southerly flow ahead of an approaching low-pressure system is expected to maintain mild conditions near or slightly above the mid-September climatological average, while increasing cloud cover and scattered rain (40–65% probability in most guidance) limits daytime warming. Recent model updates show little spread in peak values, with maxima clustered around 15–16°C depending on the exact timing of precipitation and any brief clearing. Traders appear to be pricing in this narrow range of outcomes, with limited probability assigned to warmer scenarios that would require stronger ridging or drier conditions not currently supported by the data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$825结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model consensus across ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs positions a 15–16°C high as the most probable outcome for Helsinki on September 16, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those bins.** Southerly flow ahead of an approaching low-pressure system is expected to maintain mild conditions near or slightly above the mid-September climatological average, while increasing cloud cover and scattered rain (40–65% probability in most guidance) limits daytime warming. Recent model updates show little spread in peak values, with maxima clustered around 15–16°C depending on the exact timing of precipitation and any brief clearing. Traders appear to be pricing in this narrow range of outcomes, with limited probability assigned to warmer scenarios that would require stronger ridging or drier conditions not currently supported by the data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$825结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Model consensus across ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs positions a 15–16°C high as the most probable outcome for Helsinki on September 16, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those bins.** Southerly flow ahead of an approaching low-pressure system is expected to maintain mild conditions near or slightly above the mid-September climatological average, while increasing cloud cover and scattered rain (40–65% probability in most guidance) limits daytime warming. Recent model updates show little spread in peak values, with maxima clustered around 15–16°C depending on the exact timing of precipitation and any brief clearing. Traders appear to be pricing in this narrow range of outcomes, with limited probability assigned to warmer scenarios that would require stronger ridging or drier conditions not currently supported by the data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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