Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate Amsterdam's September 14 maximum will likely reach 21–23°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and possible drizzle. This range aligns with the market's top-implied probabilities for 22°C and 23°C, reflecting consensus on modest warming from a passing Atlantic system without strong high-pressure buildup. Current observations show mild, humid conditions around 15–18°C, consistent with seasonal norms slightly above the long-term September average. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine exact peaks, particularly if steering patterns shift the timing of any showers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日阿姆斯特丹气温最高?
22°C 40%
23°C 28%
21°C 14%
20°C 11%
16°C或以下
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
11%
21°C
14%
22°C
40%
23°C
28%
24°C
9%
25°C
9%
26°C或更高
7%
22°C 40%
23°C 28%
21°C 14%
20°C 11%
16°C或以下
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
11%
21°C
14%
22°C
40%
23°C
28%
24°C
9%
25°C
9%
26°C或更高
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate Amsterdam's September 14 maximum will likely reach 21–23°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and possible drizzle. This range aligns with the market's top-implied probabilities for 22°C and 23°C, reflecting consensus on modest warming from a passing Atlantic system without strong high-pressure buildup. Current observations show mild, humid conditions around 15–18°C, consistent with seasonal norms slightly above the long-term September average. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine exact peaks, particularly if steering patterns shift the timing of any showers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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