Current forecasts from European models indicate a mild overnight period for Amsterdam on September 14, with the daily minimum likely falling in the 13–16°C range under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and limited radiative cooling. This stems from a stable pressure pattern and Atlantic air masses suppressing typical early-autumn chill, well above the 1991–2020 average low of 11°C. Trader sentiment remains split between the 7°C-or-below and 17°C-or-higher buckets because small shifts in cloud timing, wind speed, or shower passage can alter the exact minimum by several degrees, while historical analogs show wide variability on this date. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will clarify whether conditions trend cooler or warmer than the current consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日阿姆斯特丹的最低温度?
17°C或更高 75%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
8°C 37%
7°C或以下
2%
8°C
37%
9°C
37%
10°C
37%
11°C
37%
12°C
22%
13°C
27%
14°C
25%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C或更高
75%
17°C或更高 75%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
8°C 37%
7°C或以下
2%
8°C
37%
9°C
37%
10°C
37%
11°C
37%
12°C
22%
13°C
27%
14°C
25%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C或更高
75%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from European models indicate a mild overnight period for Amsterdam on September 14, with the daily minimum likely falling in the 13–16°C range under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and limited radiative cooling. This stems from a stable pressure pattern and Atlantic air masses suppressing typical early-autumn chill, well above the 1991–2020 average low of 11°C. Trader sentiment remains split between the 7°C-or-below and 17°C-or-higher buckets because small shifts in cloud timing, wind speed, or shower passage can alter the exact minimum by several degrees, while historical analogs show wide variability on this date. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will clarify whether conditions trend cooler or warmer than the current consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题